NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 3, 2018
Kyle Larson
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 3, 2018, leading 142 of 200 laps. Christopher Bell finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 3, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Christopher Bell |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 7 | 16 | +9 | Brandon Jones |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Matt Tifft |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Michael Annett |
| 14 | 5 | -9 | Kyle Busch |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Ryan Truex |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Kaz Grala |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Alex Labbe |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Ross Chastain |
| 19 | 13 | -6 | Ryan Reed |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Joey Gase |
| 21 | 29 | +8 | Josh Williams |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Garrett Smithley |
| 24 | 37 | +13 | Vinnie Miller |
| 25 | 33 | +8 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 27 | — | Matt Mills |
| 28 | 39 | +11 | Josh Bilicki |
| 29 | 21 | -8 | Ryan Sieg |
| 30 | 40 | +10 | Stephen Leicht |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Chad Finchum |
| 33 | 25 | -8 | Timmy Hill |
| 34 | 15 | -19 | Austin Cindric |
| 35 | 35 | — | David Starr |
| 36 | 31 | -5 | Spencer Boyd |
| 37 | 36 | -1 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 38 | 28 | -10 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 32 | -7 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 22 | -18 | Dylan Lupton |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 2 | +8.7 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 4 | +5.2 |
| 8 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 8 | -1.8 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 14 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 14 | +3.0 |
| 15 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 15 | +0.4 |
| 18 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 18 | -4.7 |
| 20 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 20 | +3.4 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 26 | -1.2 |
| 28 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 28 | +0.6 |
| 32 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 32 | -5.6 |
| 33 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 33 | -9.1 |
| 34 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 34 | -18.6 |
| 35 | David Starr | 20.9 | 35 | -14.1 |
| 38 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 38 | -9.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 24 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 7.6 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P18. Track history: 26 starts, 10.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS?
Kyle Larson won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 3, 2018.