Toyota Owners 400
Richmond Raceway — April 21, 2018
Kyle Busch
Winner
402
Laps
20
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2018 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway on April 21, 2018, leading 32 of 402 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 21, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | +15 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 37 | +34 | Denny Hamlin |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 38 | +32 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Kyle Larson |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 10 | 10 | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Kurt Busch |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | William Byron |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Erik Jones |
| 14 | 36 | +22 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 17 | 6 | -11 | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 15 | -3 | Alex Bowman |
| 19 | 13 | -6 | Jamie McMurray |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Ty Dillon |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 2 | 3 | — | 17 |
| Kevin Harvick | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Kurt Busch | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Aric Almirola | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Chase Elliott | 9 | 7 | — | 6 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | 10 | — | 4 |
| Clint Bowyer | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Erik Jones | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Jimmie Johnson | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Jamie McMurray | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 3 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 3 | +3.8 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 6 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 6 | +11.7 |
| 7 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 7 | +1.6 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 10 | +5.6 |
| 12 | William Byron | 10.3 | 12 | -1.7 |
| 13 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 13 | +4.7 |
| 14 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 14 | -0.2 |
| 15 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 15 | +2.0 |
| 18 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 18 | -4.0 |
| 20 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 20 | +4.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 34 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 10.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Toyota Owners 400?
Kyle Busch won the 2018 Toyota Owners 400 at Richmond Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2018 Toyota Owners 400 held?
The 2018 Toyota Owners 400 was held at Richmond Raceway on April 21, 2018.