Ford EcoBoost 200

Homestead-Miami Speedway — November 15, 2019

Austin Hill
Winner
134
Laps
32
Entries
6
Leaders

Austin Hill won the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 15, 2019, leading 56 of 134 laps. Matt Crafton finished second; Christian Eckes rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, November 15, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 5 +4 Austin Hill
2 9 +7 Matt Crafton
3 2 -1 Christian Eckes
4 3 -1 Ross Chastain
5 4 -1 Brett Moffitt
6 6 Johnny Sauter
7 7 Grant Enfinger
8 11 +3 Todd Gilliland
9 12 +3 Sheldon Creed
10 27 +17 Parker Kligerman
11 1 -10 Stewart Friesen
12 10 -2 Ben Rhodes
13 13 Harrison Burton
14 23 +9 Joe Nemechek
15 19 +4 Gus Dean
16 26 +10 Tanner Gray
17 32 +15 Jesse Little
18 15 -3 Tyler Dippel
19 14 -5 Austin Wayne Self
20 20 Natalie Decker
21 18 -3 Jordan Anderson
22 8 -14 Tyler Ankrum
23 28 +5 Tyler Hill
24 16 -8 Colby Howard
25 22 -3 Danny Bohn
26 30 +4 Codie Rohrbaugh
27 29 +2 Cory Roper
28 25 -3 Jennifer Jo Cobb
29 17 -12 Angela Ruch
30 21 -9 Josh Bilicki
31 31 Ray Ciccarelli
32 24 -8 Anthony Alfredo
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Austin Hill 1 1
Matt Crafton 6 2
Christian Eckes 5
Ross Chastain 2 3
Brett Moffitt 4 4
Johnny Sauter 10 8
Grant Enfinger 9 6
Todd Gilliland
Sheldon Creed 7 9
Parker Kligerman 7
Stewart Friesen 3 5
Ben Rhodes
Harrison Burton
Joe Nemechek
Gus Dean
Tanner Gray 10
Jesse Little
Tyler Dippel
Austin Wayne Self
Natalie Decker
Jordan Anderson
Tyler Ankrum 8
Tyler Hill
Colby Howard
Danny Bohn
Codie Rohrbaugh
Cory Roper
Jennifer Jo Cobb
Angela Ruch
Josh Bilicki
Ray Ciccarelli
Anthony Alfredo
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Austin Hill 20.9 1 +19.9
4 Ross Chastain 13.3 4 +9.3
8 Todd Gilliland 19.1 8 +11.1
30 Josh Bilicki 28.6 30 -1.4
32 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 32 -11.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Austin Hill: has 9 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 18 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 200?
Austin Hill won the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 200 at Homestead-Miami Speedway driving for Hattori Racing Enterprises.
Where was the 2019 Ford EcoBoost 200 held?
The 2019 Ford EcoBoost 200 was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 15, 2019.