UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics

Bristol Motor Speedway — August 15, 2019

Brett Moffitt
Winner
200
Laps
32
Entries
3
Leaders

Brett Moffitt won the 2019 UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 15, 2019, leading 65 of 200 laps. Chandler Smith finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Thursday, August 15, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Brett Moffitt
2 7 +5 Chandler Smith
3 2 -1 Ross Chastain
4 3 -1 Stewart Friesen
5 14 +9 Grant Enfinger
6 24 +18 Sheldon Creed
7 11 +4 Matt Crafton
8 4 -4 Ben Rhodes
9 17 +8 Todd Gilliland
10 8 -2 Austin Hill
11 6 -5 Johnny Sauter
12 16 +4 Raphael Lessard
13 12 -1 Parker Kligerman
14 26 +12 Ryan Sieg
15 25 +10 Austin Wayne Self
16 28 +12 Landon Huffman
17 27 +10 Timmy Hill
18 23 +5 Gus Dean
19 9 -10 Brennan Poole
20 5 -15 Tyler Ankrum
21 18 -3 Sam Mayer
22 31 +9 Jennifer Jo Cobb
23 10 -13 Harrison Burton
24 19 -5 Tyler Dippel
25 20 -5 Natalie Decker
26 21 -5 Clay Greenfield
27 15 -12 Dylan Lupton
28 30 +2 Jordan Anderson
29 13 -16 John Hunter Nemechek
30 32 +2 Angela Ruch
31 29 -2 J.J. Yeley
32 22 -10 Jesse Little
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Brett Moffitt 2 1
Chandler Smith 5 3
Ross Chastain 1 2
Stewart Friesen 7 5
Grant Enfinger 9
Sheldon Creed
Matt Crafton 6 4
Ben Rhodes 4 7
Todd Gilliland
Austin Hill 10
Johnny Sauter 3
Raphael Lessard 8
Parker Kligerman
Ryan Sieg
Austin Wayne Self
Landon Huffman
Timmy Hill
Gus Dean
Brennan Poole
Tyler Ankrum 8 6
Sam Mayer 10
Jennifer Jo Cobb
Harrison Burton
Tyler Dippel
Natalie Decker
Clay Greenfield
Dylan Lupton
Jordan Anderson
John Hunter Nemechek 9
Angela Ruch
J.J. Yeley
Jesse Little
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 Ross Chastain 13.8 3 +10.8
9 Todd Gilliland 17.1 9 +8.1
10 Austin Hill 20.2 10 +10.2
17 Timmy Hill 24.3 17 +7.3
19 Brennan Poole 23.1 19 +4.1
29 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 29 -8.9
31 J.J. Yeley 28.1 31 -2.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brett Moffitt: has 10 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 19.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 25 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 15.5 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
  • Ross Chastain: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P14. Track history: 25 starts, 15.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics?
Brett Moffitt won the 2019 UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2019 UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics held?
The 2019 UNOH 200 presented by Ohio Logistics was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on August 15, 2019.