Gander RV 400
Dover Motor Speedway, May 6, 2019
Martin Truex, Jr.
Winner
400
Laps
37
Entries
11
Leaders
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Gander RV 400 at Dover Motor Speedway on May 6, 2019, leading 132 of 400 laps. Alex Bowman finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Monday, May 6, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2 | 5 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 3 | 3 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Chase Elliott |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Erik Jones |
| 7 | 4 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | William Byron |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Kyle Busch |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Kurt Busch |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 16 | 7 | -9 | Aric Almirola |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Paul Menard |
| 18 | 21 | +3 | Ryan Newman |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Austin Dillon |
| 20 | 17 | -3 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 21 | 8 | -13 | Denny Hamlin |
| 22 | 25 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 23 | 30 | +7 | Chris Buescher |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 25 | 23 | -2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | David Ragan |
| 27 | 27 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 28 | 29 | +1 | Ryan Preece |
| 29 | 28 | -1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 31 | 31 | — | Landon Cassill |
| 32 | 32 | — | Matt Tifft |
| 33 | 20 | -13 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Cody Ware |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Reed Sorenson |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Quin Houff |
| 37 | 34 | -3 | B.J. McLeod |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 23 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 1 | +13.0 |
| 2 | Alex Bowman | 15.0 | 2 | +13.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 9.9 | 3 | +6.9 |
| 5 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 5 | +3.3 |
| 6 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 6 | +11.7 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 12.6 | 7 | +5.6 |
| 8 | William Byron | 12.0 | 8 | +4.0 |
| 11 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 11 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 12 | +0.6 |
| 14 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 14 | +3.7 |
| 15 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 15 | -8.2 |
| 19 | Austin Dillon | 15.6 | 19 | -3.4 |
| 21 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 21 | -14.2 |
| 22 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 22 | +2.3 |
| 23 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 23 | -12.7 |
| 24 | Michael McDowell | 14.7 | 24 | -9.3 |
| 27 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 27 | -13.0 |
| 28 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 28 | -17.2 |
| 29 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 29 | -4.1 |
| 30 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 30 | -16.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Martin Truex, Jr.: has 12 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 5.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 15.6 avg finish, finishing P15 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 Gander RV 400?
Martin Truex, Jr. won the 2019 Gander RV 400 at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2019 Gander RV 400 held?
The 2019 Gander RV 400 was held at Dover Motor Speedway on May 6, 2019.