NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS

Kansas Speedway — October 19, 2019

Brandon Jones
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders

Brandon Jones won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway on October 19, 2019, leading 10 of 200 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Chase Briscoe rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 19, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Brandon Jones
2 4 +2 Tyler Reddick
3 11 +8 Chase Briscoe
4 38 +34 Michael Annett
5 7 +2 Justin Allgaier
6 6 Jeremy Clements
7 12 +5 Justin Haley
8 15 +7 John Hunter Nemechek
9 13 +4 Ryan Sieg
10 9 -1 Ross Chastain
11 5 -6 Cole Custer
12 1 -11 Christopher Bell
13 10 -3 Noah Gragson
14 23 +9 Ray Black, Jr.
15 17 +2 Alex Labbe
16 21 +5 Dillon Bassett
17 19 +2 Gray Gaulding
18 18 Brandon Brown
19 25 +6 B.J. McLeod
20 27 +7 Matt Mills
21 30 +9 Josh Williams
22 20 -2 Kyle Weatherman
23 28 +5 David Starr
24 34 +10 C.J. McLaughlin
25 3 -22 Austin Cindric
26 35 +9 Chad Finchum
27 29 +2 Stephen Leicht
28 32 +4 Tyler Matthews
29 31 +2 Josh Bilicki
30 36 +6 Vinnie Miller
31 37 +6 Bobby Earnhardt
32 24 -8 Joey Gase
33 33 Garrett Smithley
34 16 -18 Harrison Burton
35 22 -13 Bayley Currey
36 26 -10 Landon Cassill
37 14 -23 J.J. Yeley
38 8 -30 Ryan Truex
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Tyler Reddick 6.2 2 +4.2
3 Chase Briscoe 11.9 3 +8.9
5 Justin Allgaier 18.3 5 +13.3
7 Justin Haley 19.9 7 +12.9
8 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 8 +11.1
10 Ross Chastain 13.3 10 +3.3
11 Cole Custer 22.9 11 +11.9
12 Christopher Bell 10.7 12 -1.3
13 Noah Gragson 21.4 13 +8.4
19 B.J. McLeod 24.8 19 +5.8
23 David Starr 20.9 23 -2.1
25 Austin Cindric 15.4 25 -9.6
26 Chad Finchum 26.4 26 +0.4
29 Josh Bilicki 28.6 29 -0.4
32 Joey Gase 23.4 32 -8.6
37 J.J. Yeley 28.8 37 -8.2
38 Ryan Truex 15.4 38 -22.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Brandon Jones: has 18 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
  • Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 22 starts, 18.6 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS?
Brandon Jones won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS was held at Kansas Speedway on October 19, 2019.