NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO

Chicagoland Speedway — June 29, 2019

Cole Custer
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders

Cole Custer won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway on June 29, 2019, leading 151 of 200 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Michael Annett rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 29, 2019
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Cole Custer
2 1 -1 Joey Logano
3 16 +13 Michael Annett
4 6 +2 Brandon Jones
5 7 +2 Austin Cindric
6 10 +4 Noah Gragson
7 14 +7 Justin Haley
8 3 -5 Ross Chastain
9 9 Tyler Reddick
10 8 -2 Riley Herbst
11 15 +4 John Hunter Nemechek
12 12 Ryan Sieg
13 19 +6 Jeremy Clements
14 17 +3 Gray Gaulding
15 11 -4 Chase Briscoe
16 21 +5 Jeffrey Earnhardt
17 13 -4 Zane Smith
18 22 +4 Shane Lee
19 20 +1 Landon Cassill
20 25 +5 Ray Black, Jr.
21 30 +9 Stephen Leicht
22 31 +9 Brandon Brown
23 18 -5 B.J. McLeod
24 26 +2 Chad Finchum
25 35 +10 Garrett Smithley
26 34 +8 Josh Williams
27 24 -3 Matt Mills
28 28 Tommy Joe Martins
29 37 +8 Vinnie Miller
30 33 +3 Ronnie Bassett, Jr.
31 29 -2 Camden Murphy
32 4 -28 Justin Allgaier
33 27 -6 Joey Gase
34 32 -2 Timmy Hill
35 23 -12 Josh Bilicki
36 36 David Starr
37 38 +1 Jeff Green
38 5 -33 Christopher Bell
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Cole Custer 22.9 1 +21.9
2 Joey Logano 14.7 2 +12.7
5 Austin Cindric 15.4 5 +10.4
6 Noah Gragson 21.4 6 +15.4
7 Justin Haley 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Ross Chastain 13.3 8 +5.3
9 Tyler Reddick 6.2 9 -2.8
10 Riley Herbst 21.4 10 +11.4
11 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 11 +8.1
15 Chase Briscoe 11.9 15 -3.1
17 Zane Smith 19.1 17 +2.1
23 B.J. McLeod 24.8 23 +1.8
24 Chad Finchum 26.4 24 +2.4
32 Justin Allgaier 18.3 32 -13.7
33 Joey Gase 23.4 33 -9.6
34 Timmy Hill 23.9 34 -10.1
35 Josh Bilicki 28.6 35 -6.4
36 David Starr 20.9 36 -15.1
38 Christopher Bell 10.7 38 -27.3

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Cole Custer: has 4 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 5.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 11.6 avg finish, finishing P9 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO?
Cole Custer won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO was held at Chicagoland Speedway on June 29, 2019.