NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 2, 2019
Kyle Busch
Winner
213
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 2, 2019, leading 98 of 213 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 2, 2019
Track
Season
2019
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 31 | +27 | Austin Dillon |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Michael Annett |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | Ryan Sieg |
| 7 | 15 | +8 | Ross Chastain |
| 8 | 28 | +20 | Chase Briscoe |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Justin Haley |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 12 | 35 | +23 | Gray Gaulding |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Christopher Bell |
| 14 | 12 | -2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 19 | +3 | Josh Williams |
| 17 | 11 | -6 | Brandon Brown |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | David Starr |
| 20 | 29 | +9 | B.J. McLeod |
| 21 | 2 | -19 | Chad Finchum |
| 22 | 5 | -17 | Austin Cindric |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | Timmy Hill |
| 24 | 6 | -18 | Zane Smith |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | Jairo Avila Jr. |
| 26 | 14 | -12 | Vinnie Miller |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Stephen Leicht |
| 28 | 9 | -19 | Brandon Jones |
| 29 | 25 | -4 | Matt Mills |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 31 | 7 | -24 | Justin Allgaier |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Jeff Green |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 34 | 21 | -13 | Bayley Currey |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Stan Mullis |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 37 | 23 | -14 | Donald Theetge |
| 38 | 33 | -5 | Joey Gase |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.8 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 2 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 2 | +17.1 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 3 | +18.4 |
| 4 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 4 | +13.1 |
| 7 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 7 | +6.3 |
| 8 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 8 | +3.9 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 9 | +13.9 |
| 10 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 10 | +9.9 |
| 13 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 13 | -2.3 |
| 14 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 14 | -7.8 |
| 19 | David Starr | 20.9 | 19 | +1.9 |
| 20 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 20 | +4.8 |
| 21 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 21 | +5.4 |
| 22 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 22 | -6.6 |
| 23 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 23 | +0.9 |
| 24 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 24 | -4.9 |
| 31 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 31 | -12.7 |
| 36 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 36 | -7.4 |
| 38 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 38 | -14.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 52 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P14 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P21. Track history: 18 starts, 11.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS?
Kyle Busch won the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS held?
The 2019 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT LAS VEGAS was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 2, 2019.