NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE
Martinsville Speedway — October 31, 2020
Harrison Burton
Winner
250
Laps
39
Entries
6
Leaders
Harrison Burton won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE at Martinsville Speedway on October 31, 2020, leading 81 of 250 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Noah Gragson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 31, 2020
Track
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Harrison Burton |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Noah Gragson |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | Jeb Burton |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 24 | +18 | Riley Herbst |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Michael Annett |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Brandon Jones |
| 10 | 1 | -9 | Austin Cindric |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Justin Haley |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Brett Moffitt |
| 14 | 39 | +25 | J.J. Yeley |
| 15 | 23 | +8 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 17 | 35 | +18 | Timmy Hill |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Brandon Brown |
| 19 | 13 | -6 | Josh Williams |
| 20 | 38 | +18 | Mason Diaz |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Jesse Little |
| 23 | 22 | -1 | Myatt Snider |
| 24 | 36 | +12 | Stefan Parsons |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Colby Howard |
| 26 | 37 | +11 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 27 | 16 | -11 | Alex Labbe |
| 28 | 20 | -8 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Kody Vanderwal |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Donald Theetge |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Carl Long |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | B.J. McLeod |
| 34 | 17 | -17 | Ryan Vargas |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Gray Gaulding |
| 36 | 21 | -15 | Bayley Currey |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Chad Finchum |
| 38 | 18 | -20 | Matt Mills |
| 39 | 32 | -7 | Josh Reaume |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 2 | +15.7 |
| 3 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 3 | +20.0 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 5 | +8.8 |
| 6 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 6 | +16.1 |
| 7 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 7 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 10 | +7.0 |
| 12 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 12 | +9.2 |
| 14 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 14 | +14.1 |
| 17 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 17 | +7.3 |
| 26 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 26 | -7.7 |
| 33 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 33 | -7.4 |
| 37 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 37 | -14.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Harrison Burton: has 16 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 15.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.9 avg finish, finishing P7 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P23. Track history: 16 starts, 16.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE?
Harrison Burton won the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE held?
The 2020 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MARTINSVILLE was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 31, 2020.