Coca-Cola 600
Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 30, 2021
Kyle Larson
Winner
400
Laps
38
Entries
13
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 30, 2021, leading 327 of 400 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 30, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 20 | +17 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 4 | — | William Byron |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 6 | — | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 27 | +19 | Chris Buescher |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 2 | -10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 13 | 11 | -2 | Ryan Blaney |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Bubba Wallace |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 19 | +3 | Erik Jones |
| 17 | 16 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Michael McDowell |
| 21 | 23 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Aric Almirola |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | Chase Briscoe |
| 24 | 17 | -7 | Christopher Bell |
| 25 | 29 | +4 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Ryan Preece |
| 27 | 25 | -2 | Ryan Newman |
| 28 | 30 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 29 | 8 | -21 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Cody Ware |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | 32 | — | Quin Houff |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | James Davison |
| 34 | 36 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 35 | 37 | +2 | Josh Bilicki |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | David Starr |
| 37 | 10 | -27 | Ross Chastain |
| 38 | 12 | -26 | Kurt Busch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Larson | 1 | 1 | 1 | 30 |
| Chase Elliott | 2 | 2 | 4 | 25 |
| William Byron | 3 | 3 | 2 | 25 |
| Kyle Busch | 6 | 4 | 3 | 20 |
| Tyler Reddick | 8 | 5 | 6 | 14 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 6 | 10 | 13 |
| Alex Bowman | 10 | 7 | 5 | 11 |
| Austin Dillon | 5 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 9 | 7 | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Chris Buescher | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | 9 | 2 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Matt DiBenedetto | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Quin Houff | — | — | — | — |
| James Davison | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| David Starr | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Kurt Busch | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 29 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.2 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 5 | +11.2 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 7 | -0.8 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 9 | +2.2 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 13 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 13 | -4.8 |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 14 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 15 | -2.3 |
| 16 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 16 | -1.3 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 17 | -5.1 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 20 | -3.1 |
| 21 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 21 | +1.0 |
| 23 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 23 | -15.2 |
| 24 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 24 | -14.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 22 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.0 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P30 vs predicted P57. Track history: 9 starts, 25.3 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Coca-Cola 600?
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2021 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 30, 2021.