Coca-Cola 600
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 30, 2021
Kyle Larson
Winner
400
Laps
22
Entries
13
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 30, 2021, leading 327 of 400 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 30, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | +9 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | William Byron |
| 5 | 20 | +15 | Alex Bowman |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 8 | 17 | +9 | Chris Buescher |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 11 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 13 | 7 | -6 | Ryan Blaney |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Bubba Wallace |
| 15 | 31 | +16 | Daniel Suarez |
| 16 | 31 | +15 | Erik Jones |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Joey Logano |
| 18 | 14 | -4 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Corey LaJoie |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Michael McDowell |
| 24 | 9 | -15 | Christopher Bell |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Anthony Alfredo |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad Keselowski | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Ryan Blaney | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 6 | — | 13 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 4 | — | 11 |
| Tyler Reddick | 5 | 8 | — | 9 |
| Kyle Larson | 10 | 7 | — | 5 |
| Christopher Bell | 6 | 11 | — | 5 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | 9 | 12 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 20 matched drivers, the model averaged 5.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 1 | +11.7 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 2 | +5.8 |
| 3 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 3 | +14.0 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 5 | +8.5 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 6 | +11.1 |
| 7 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 7 | +1.2 |
| 8 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 11 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 11 | +0.2 |
| 12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 12 | +7.9 |
| 13 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 14 | -1.3 |
| 15 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 15 | -1.0 |
| 16 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 16 | +0.7 |
| 17 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 17 | -2.3 |
| 19 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 19 | +3.2 |
| 20 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
| 24 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 24 | -13.3 |
| 25 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 25 | -4.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P9 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P17. Track history: 68 starts, 8.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 Coca-Cola 600?
Kyle Larson won the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2021 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 30, 2021.