NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 29, 2021

Ty Gibbs
Winner
200
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders

Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2021, leading 20 of 200 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; Harrison Burton rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 29, 2021
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Ty Gibbs
2 4 +2 Austin Cindric
3 13 +10 Harrison Burton
4 32 +28 Brandon Brown
5 16 +11 Tyler Reddick
6 2 -4 Chase Briscoe
7 10 +3 Ty Dillon
8 14 +6 Brandon Jones
9 9 Jeb Burton
10 6 -4 Jeremy Clements
11 26 +15 Justin Allgaier
12 1 -11 Riley Herbst
13 28 +15 Landon Cassill
14 33 +19 Alex Labbe
15 22 +7 Chad Finchum
16 20 +4 Ryan Vargas
17 25 +8 Jade Buford
18 30 +12 Jesse Little
19 11 -8 Justin Haley
20 31 +11 Cody Ware
21 34 +13 Josh Williams
22 17 -5 Jeffrey Earnhardt
23 21 -2 Stefan Parsons
24 19 -5 Michael Annett
25 15 -10 Brett Moffitt
26 7 -19 Myatt Snider
27 23 -4 Noah Gragson
28 3 -25 Daniel Hemric
29 27 -2 Tommy Joe Martins
30 29 -1 Colby Howard
31 12 -19 Ryan Sieg
32 18 -14 Josh Berry
33 5 -28 A.J. Allmendinger
34 36 +2 Timmy Hill
35 24 -11 Matt Mills
36 35 -1 Grant Enfinger
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ty Gibbs 10.7 1 +9.7
2 Austin Cindric 15.4 2 +13.4
5 Tyler Reddick 11.2 5 +6.2
6 Chase Briscoe 7.8 6 +1.8
7 Ty Dillon 22.9 7 +15.9
11 Justin Allgaier 17.1 11 +6.1
12 Riley Herbst 19.9 12 +7.9
15 Chad Finchum 28.2 15 +13.2
19 Justin Haley 20.9 19 +1.9
20 Cody Ware 57.0 20 +37.0
27 Noah Gragson 22.9 27 -4.1
32 Josh Berry 21.4 32 -10.6
33 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 33 -15.9
34 Timmy Hill 23.9 34 -10.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ty Gibbs: has 7 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 10.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 15.1 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P20 vs predicted P57. Track history: 9 starts, 25.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte?
Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2021.