NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville
Martinsville Speedway — October 30, 2021
Noah Gragson
Winner
257
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders
Noah Gragson won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway on October 30, 2021, leading 153 of 257 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 30, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Noah Gragson |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Austin Cindric |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Sam Mayer |
| 5 | 5 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 8 | 25 | +17 | Alex Labbe |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Jeremy Clements |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Riley Herbst |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 12 | 23 | +11 | Landon Cassill |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Myatt Snider |
| 14 | 40 | +26 | Colin Garrett |
| 15 | 31 | +16 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | J.J. Yeley |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Jade Buford |
| 18 | 37 | +19 | Preston Pardus |
| 19 | 13 | -6 | Brett Moffitt |
| 20 | 10 | -10 | Harrison Burton |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | Stephen Leicht |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Ryan Ellis |
| 24 | 35 | +11 | David Starr |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Natalie Decker |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Akinori Ogata |
| 27 | 2 | -25 | Ty Gibbs |
| 28 | 29 | +1 | Josh Berry |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Matt Mills |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Spencer Boyd |
| 31 | 14 | -17 | Ryan Sieg |
| 32 | 21 | -11 | Ryan Vargas |
| 33 | 4 | -29 | Justin Haley |
| 34 | 24 | -10 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Bayley Currey |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Brandon Brown |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Jeb Burton |
| 38 | 6 | -32 | Michael Annett |
| 39 | 39 | — | Mike Harmon |
| 40 | 19 | -21 | Tommy Joe Martins |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 1 | +22.0 |
| 2 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 7 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 7 | +11.3 |
| 10 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 10 | +12.1 |
| 16 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 16 | +12.1 |
| 24 | David Starr | 20.2 | 24 | -3.8 |
| 27 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 27 | -14.4 |
| 28 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 28 | -9.0 |
| 33 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 33 | -11.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Noah Gragson: has 16 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 16.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ty Gibbs: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P27 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville?
Noah Gragson won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 30, 2021.