NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 29, 2021
Ty Gibbs
Winner
200
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders
Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2021, leading 20 of 200 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; Harrison Burton rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 29, 2021
Track
Season
2021
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Ty Gibbs |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Austin Cindric |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Harrison Burton |
| 4 | 32 | +28 | Brandon Brown |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Tyler Reddick |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Chase Briscoe |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Brandon Jones |
| 9 | 9 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 11 | 26 | +15 | Justin Allgaier |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | Riley Herbst |
| 13 | 28 | +15 | Landon Cassill |
| 14 | 33 | +19 | Alex Labbe |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Chad Finchum |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Ryan Vargas |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Jade Buford |
| 18 | 30 | +12 | Jesse Little |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Justin Haley |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Cody Ware |
| 21 | 34 | +13 | Josh Williams |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | Stefan Parsons |
| 24 | 19 | -5 | Michael Annett |
| 25 | 15 | -10 | Brett Moffitt |
| 26 | 7 | -19 | Myatt Snider |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Noah Gragson |
| 28 | 3 | -25 | Daniel Hemric |
| 29 | 27 | -2 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | Colby Howard |
| 31 | 12 | -19 | Ryan Sieg |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Josh Berry |
| 33 | 5 | -28 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 34 | 36 | +2 | Timmy Hill |
| 35 | 24 | -11 | Matt Mills |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Grant Enfinger |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 1 | +13.5 |
| 2 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 2 | +13.4 |
| 5 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 6 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 6 | +5.9 |
| 7 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 7 | +16.4 |
| 11 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 11 | +7.3 |
| 12 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 12 | +9.4 |
| 15 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 15 | +11.4 |
| 19 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Cody Ware | 56.1 | 20 | +36.1 |
| 27 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 27 | -5.6 |
| 32 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 32 | -9.1 |
| 33 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 33 | -14.7 |
| 34 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 34 | -10.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ty Gibbs: has 6 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P5 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P20 vs predicted P56. Track history: 8 starts, 23.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte?
Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte held?
The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Charlotte was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2021.