NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen

Watkins Glen International — August 7, 2021

Ty Gibbs

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International on August 7, 2021, leading 43 of 82 laps. A.J. Allmendinger finished second; Austin Cindric rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, August 7, 2021

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2021

Winner

Ty Gibbs

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	15	+14	Ty Gibbs	82	—	Running	43	49
2	6	+4	A.J. Allmendinger	82	—	Running	6	54
3	2	-1	Austin Cindric	82	—	Running	22	52
4	1	-3	Justin Allgaier	82	—	Running	—	40
5	4	-1	Harrison Burton	82	—	Running	3	39
6	21	+15	Brandon Jones	82	—	Running	1	34
7	11	+4	Noah Gragson	82	—	Running	—	40
8	8	—	Jeb Burton	82	—	Running	—	35
9	5	-4	Justin Haley	82	—	Running	—	33
10	23	+13	Sam Mayer	82	—	Running	—	32
11	18	+7	Michael Annett	82	—	Running	—	29
12	14	+2	Brandon Brown	82	—	Running	—	25
13	10	-3	Riley Herbst	82	—	Running	—	31
14	19	+5	Josh Williams	82	—	Running	—	23
15	7	-8	Myatt Snider	82	—	Running	—	22
16	12	-4	Jeremy Clements	82	—	Running	—	21
17	24	+7	Kris Wright	82	—	Running	—	0
18	13	-5	Ryan Sieg	82	—	Running	—	19
19	17	-2	Tommy Joe Martins	82	—	Running	—	18
20	20	—	Landon Cassill	82	—	Running	—	17
21	16	-5	Jade Buford	82	—	Running	—	16
22	3	-19	Daniel Hemric	82	—	Running	7	24
23	35	+12	Preston Pardus	82	—	Running	—	14
24	30	+6	Josh Bilicki	82	—	Running	—	13
25	28	+3	Jeffrey Earnhardt	82	—	Running	—	12
26	9	-17	Brett Moffitt	82	—	Running	—	11
27	27	—	Jesse Little	82	—	Running	—	10
28	40	+12	Stephen Leicht	82	—	Running	—	9
29	32	+3	Timmy Hill	81	—	Running	—	0
30	25	-5	Joe Graf Jr.	81	—	Running	—	7
31	31	—	Colby Howard	81	—	Running	—	6
32	39	+7	Bayley Currey	81	—	Running	—	0
33	38	+5	David Smith	80	—	Running	—	4
34	22	-12	Kyle Weatherman	75	—	Running	—	3
35	34	-1	Michael Munley	74	—	Running	—	2
36	36	—	Erik Jones	66	—	DNF	—	0
37	33	-4	Austin Dillon	53	—	DNF	—	0
38	29	-9	Matt Mills	47	—	DNF	—	1
39	26	-13	Alex Labbe	28	—	DNF	—	1
40	37	-3	Kyle Tilley	20	—	DNF	—	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Ty Gibbs	17.2	1	+16.2	Coinflip
2	A.J. Allmendinger	16.5	2	+14.5	Coinflip
3	Austin Cindric	20.2	3	+17.2	Coinflip
4	Justin Allgaier	16.8	4	+12.8	Moderate
7	Noah Gragson	26.9	7	+19.9	High Confidence
9	Justin Haley	25.7	9	+16.7	High Confidence
13	Riley Herbst	25.7	13	+12.7	High Confidence
24	Josh Bilicki	29.0	24	+5.0	High Confidence
29	Timmy Hill	20.8	29	-8.2	Coinflip
36	Erik Jones	21.4	36	-14.6	High Confidence
37	Austin Dillon	21.4	37	-15.6	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Ty Gibbs: has 9 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 18.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
A.J. Allmendinger: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 9.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.
Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P27. Track history: 5 starts, 13.0 avg finish.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen?

Ty Gibbs won the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen at Watkins Glen International.

Where was the 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen held?

The 2021 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Watkins Glen was held at Watkins Glen International on August 7, 2021.