Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Bristol Motor Speedway, September 17, 2022

Chris Buescher
Winner
500
Laps
36
Entries
6
Leaders

Chris Buescher won the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 17, 2022, leading 169 of 500 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 17, 2022
Season
2022
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 20 +19 Chris Buescher
2 23 +21 Chase Elliott
3 16 +13 William Byron
4 8 +4 Christopher Bell
5 5 Kyle Larson
6 12 +6 Ross Chastain
7 13 +6 A.J. Allmendinger
8 11 +3 Cole Custer
9 4 -5 Denny Hamlin
10 7 -3 Kevin Harvick
11 18 +7 Michael McDowell
12 19 +7 Justin Haley
13 10 -3 Brad Keselowski
14 2 -12 Chase Briscoe
15 31 +16 Corey LaJoie
16 27 +11 Harrison Burton
17 32 +15 Cody Ware
18 30 +12 Todd Gilliland
19 29 +10 Daniel Suarez
20 9 -11 Austin Cindric
21 24 +3 Erik Jones
22 35 +13 Landon Cassill
23 36 +13 J.J. Yeley
24 33 +9 B.J. McLeod
25 17 -8 Tyler Reddick
26 34 +8 Ty Dillon
27 15 -12 Joey Logano
28 1 -27 Aric Almirola
29 14 -15 Bubba Wallace
30 6 -24 Ryan Blaney
31 28 -3 Austin Dillon
32 3 -29 Alex Bowman
33 26 -7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
34 21 -13 Kyle Busch
35 25 -10 Ty Gibbs
36 22 -14 Martin Truex, Jr.
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Christopher Bell 2 1 19
Chase Briscoe 4 3 15
Kyle Busch 3 5 14
Brad Keselowski 1 10
Alex Bowman 6 6 10
Ross Chastain 2 9
Kyle Larson 5 9 8
Chase Elliott 4 7
William Byron 9 7 6
Chris Buescher 7 4
Tyler Reddick 8 3
Austin Dillon 8 3
Kevin Harvick 10 1
Martin Truex, Jr. 10 1
A.J. Allmendinger
Cole Custer
Denny Hamlin
Michael McDowell
Justin Haley
Corey LaJoie
Harrison Burton
Cody Ware
Todd Gilliland
Daniel Suarez
Austin Cindric
Erik Jones
Landon Cassill
J.J. Yeley
B.J. McLeod
Ty Dillon
Joey Logano
Aric Almirola
Bubba Wallace
Ryan Blaney
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Ty Gibbs
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chris Buescher 12.0 1 +11.0
2 Chase Elliott 9.9 2 +7.9
3 William Byron 10.8 3 +7.8
4 Christopher Bell 8.3 4 +4.3
5 Kyle Larson 10.3 5 +5.3
6 Ross Chastain 12.6 6 +6.6
7 A.J. Allmendinger 20.1 7 +13.1
8 Cole Custer 22.1 8 +14.1
9 Denny Hamlin 6.8 9 -2.2
11 Michael McDowell 15.6 11 +4.6
12 Justin Haley 21.2 12 +9.2
13 Brad Keselowski 13.8 13 +0.8
14 Chase Briscoe 8.6 14 -5.4
15 Corey LaJoie 24.9 15 +9.9
17 Cody Ware 37.3 17 +20.3
18 Todd Gilliland 17.7 18 -0.3
19 Daniel Suarez 14.0 19 -5.0
20 Austin Cindric 14.0 20 -6.0
21 Erik Jones 17.7 21 -3.3
23 J.J. Yeley 27.3 23 +4.3

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chris Buescher: has 26 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 15.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 49 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P17 vs predicted P37. Track history: 7 starts, 28.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race?
Chris Buescher won the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for RFK Racing.
Where was the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race held?
The 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 17, 2022.