Cook Out Southern 500
Darlington Raceway, September 4, 2022
Erik Jones
Winner
367
Laps
36
Entries
11
Leaders
Erik Jones won the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway on September 4, 2022, leading 23 of 367 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 4, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | +14 | Erik Jones |
| 2 | 11 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Michael McDowell |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | William Byron |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Alex Bowman |
| 11 | 22 | +11 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 14 | 30 | +16 | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Ty Gibbs |
| 16 | 6 | -10 | Austin Cindric |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | Daniel Suarez |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Justin Haley |
| 20 | 12 | -8 | Ross Chastain |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Harrison Burton |
| 22 | 29 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 23 | 24 | +1 | Daniel Hemric |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | Corey LaJoie |
| 25 | 26 | +1 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | Chris Buescher |
| 27 | 19 | -8 | Chase Briscoe |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Todd Gilliland |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 5 | -25 | Kyle Busch |
| 31 | 17 | -14 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 32 | 32 | — | Cody Ware |
| 33 | 18 | -15 | Kevin Harvick |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Chase Elliott |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | 3 | 1 | — | 18 |
| William Byron | 1 | 5 | — | 16 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | 6 | — | 12 |
| Ryan Blaney | 9 | 3 | — | 10 |
| Denny Hamlin | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Joey Logano | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Erik Jones | 8 | 9 | — | 5 |
| Ross Chastain | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Tyler Reddick | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Alex Bowman | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Daniel Suarez | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Michael McDowell | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Bubba Wallace | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Elliott | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 30 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.1 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 1 | +13.7 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 6.2 | 2 | +4.2 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 3 | +8.2 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 4 | +7.9 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 5 | +4.2 |
| 6 | Michael McDowell | 16.9 | 6 | +10.9 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 7 | +8.4 |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 10 | Alex Bowman | 16.2 | 10 | +6.2 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 12 | +1.1 |
| 13 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 13 | -4.8 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 14 | +8.0 |
| 15 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 15 | -4.3 |
| 16 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 16 | -0.6 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 17 | +2.9 |
| 18 | Daniel Suarez | 12.7 | 18 | -5.3 |
| 19 | Justin Haley | 20.9 | 19 | +1.9 |
| 20 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 20 | -5.5 |
| 22 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 22 | +0.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Erik Jones: has 19 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 11.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.5 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P32 vs predicted P57. Track history: 9 starts, 31.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500?
Erik Jones won the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway driving for Legacy Motor Club.
Where was the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 held?
The 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 was held at Darlington Raceway on September 4, 2022.