Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Bristol Motor Speedway — September 17, 2022
Chris Buescher
Winner
500
Laps
22
Entries
6
Leaders
Chris Buescher won the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 17, 2022, leading 169 of 500 laps. Chase Elliott finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 17, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | +21 | Chris Buescher |
| 2 | 2 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 3 | 25 | +22 | William Byron |
| 4 | 20 | +16 | Christopher Bell |
| 5 | 1 | -4 | Kyle Larson |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Ross Chastain |
| 7 | 21 | +14 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Cole Custer |
| 9 | 11 | +2 | Denny Hamlin |
| 10 | 8 | -2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Michael McDowell |
| 12 | 29 | +17 | Justin Haley |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | Brad Keselowski |
| 14 | 3 | -11 | Chase Briscoe |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Corey LaJoie |
| 16 | 10 | -6 | Harrison Burton |
| 17 | 36 | +19 | Cody Ware |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Todd Gilliland |
| 19 | 7 | -12 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Austin Cindric |
| 28 | 15 | -13 | Aric Almirola |
| 30 | 4 | -26 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Chase Elliott | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Kyle Larson | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Cole Custer | 3 | 4 | — | 15 |
| Christopher Bell | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Ross Chastain | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Chase Briscoe | 5 | 17 | — | 6 |
| Daniel Suarez | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | 11 | — | 1 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 19 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 1 | +9.3 |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 2 | +6.3 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 5 | +3.6 |
| 6 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 6 | +7.8 |
| 7 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 7 | +11.3 |
| 8 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 8 | +15.0 |
| 9 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 9 | -2.2 |
| 11 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 11 | +4.0 |
| 12 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 12 | +9.2 |
| 13 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 13 | -1.0 |
| 14 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 14 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Corey LaJoie | 24.9 | 15 | +9.9 |
| 17 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 17 | +12.8 |
| 18 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 18 | -0.9 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 19 | -3.4 |
| 20 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 20 | -3.0 |
| 30 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 30 | -23.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chris Buescher: has 23 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 48 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.3 avg finish (4 wins), finishing P9 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 17 starts, 14.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race?
Chris Buescher won the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for RFK Racing.
Where was the 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race held?
The 2022 Bass Pro Shops Night Race was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 17, 2022.