Cook Out Southern 500
Darlington Raceway — September 4, 2022
Erik Jones
Winner
500
Laps
36
Entries
11
Leaders
Erik Jones won the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway on September 4, 2022, leading 23 of 500 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 4, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | +21 | Erik Jones |
| 2 | 31 | +29 | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 7 | +2 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 15 | +9 | Michael McDowell |
| 7 | 25 | +18 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | William Byron |
| 9 | 9 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 10 | — | — | Alex Bowman |
| 11 | 23 | +12 | Aric Almirola |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | Kyle Larson |
| 13 | 4 | -9 | Ryan Blaney |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Cole Custer |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | Ty Gibbs |
| 16 | 2 | -14 | Austin Cindric |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 6 | -12 | Daniel Suarez |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Justin Haley |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Ross Chastain |
| 21 | — | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 22 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 23 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Corey LaJoie |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Landon Cassill |
| 26 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 27 | — | — | Justin Haley |
| 28 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 29 | — | — | Kyle Busch |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | Kyle Busch |
| 31 | 27 | -4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 32 | — | — | Landon Cassill |
| 33 | — | — | Austin Dillon |
| 34 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 35 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Logano | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 1 | — | 16 |
| Daniel Suarez | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| Bubba Wallace | 1 | 35 | — | 10 |
| Christopher Bell | 4 | 36 | — | 7 |
| Austin Cindric | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| Ross Chastain | 11 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Denny Hamlin | 16 | 5 | — | 6 |
| William Byron | 10 | 6 | — | 6 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Larson | 7 | 34 | — | 4 |
| Tyler Reddick | 9 | 11 | — | 2 |
| Kyle Busch | 14 | 10 | — | 1 |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Landon Cassill | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 26 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 2 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 3 | +3.2 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 4 | +10.7 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| 6 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 6 | +11.0 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7 | +4.2 |
| 8 | William Byron | 10.7 | 8 | +2.7 |
| 9 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 9 | +3.7 |
| 10 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 10 | +3.5 |
| 12 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 12 | +0.7 |
| 13 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 13 | -3.8 |
| 14 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 14 | +8.9 |
| 15 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 15 | -0.5 |
| 16 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 16 | -0.6 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 17 | +0.1 |
| 18 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 18 | -4.0 |
| 19 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 19 | +0.9 |
| 20 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 20 | -6.7 |
| 21 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 21 | +1.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Erik Jones: has 19 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P28 vs predicted P56. Track history: 9 starts, 29.4 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500?
Erik Jones won the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway driving for Petty GMS Motorsports.
Where was the 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 held?
The 2022 Cook Out Southern 500 was held at Darlington Raceway on September 4, 2022.