NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race

Phoenix Raceway — November 6, 2022

Joey Logano
Winner
312
Laps
21
Entries
6
Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway on November 6, 2022, leading 187 of 312 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Ross Chastain rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 6, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 10 +9 Joey Logano
2 25 +23 Ryan Blaney
3 33 +30 Ross Chastain
4 4 Chase Briscoe
5 32 +27 Kevin Harvick
6 19 +13 William Byron
7 11 +4 Kyle Busch
8 34 +26 Denny Hamlin
9 5 -4 Kyle Larson
10 2 -8 Christopher Bell
11 20 +9 Austin Cindric
12 A.J. Allmendinger
13 12 -1 Austin Dillon
14 14 Erik Jones
15 30 +15 Martin Truex, Jr.
16 1 -15 Cole Custer
17 Daniel Hemric
18 26 +8 Corey LaJoie
19 24 +5 Harrison Burton
20 31 +11 Aric Almirola
34 8 -26 Alex Bowman
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Christopher Bell 3 2 17
Kyle Larson 1 6 15
Kyle Busch 5 5 12
Chase Briscoe 30 1 10
Joey Logano 7 7 8
Austin Dillon 4 12 7
Alex Bowman 6 24 5
Ryan Blaney 9 9 4
A.J. Allmendinger
Daniel Hemric
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Joey Logano 12.1 1 +11.1
2 Ryan Blaney 6.8 2 +4.8
3 Ross Chastain 13.8 3 +10.8
4 Chase Briscoe 12.6 4 +8.6
6 William Byron 10.3 6 +4.3
7 Kyle Busch 15.6 7 +8.6
8 Denny Hamlin 6.8 8 -1.2
9 Kyle Larson 8.6 9 -0.4
10 Christopher Bell 8.6 10 -1.4
11 Austin Cindric 17.0 11 +6.0
12 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 12 +6.3
13 Austin Dillon 17.0 13 +4.0
14 Erik Jones 17.7 14 +3.7
15 Martin Truex, Jr. 13.8 15 -1.2
16 Cole Custer 23.0 16 +7.0
18 Corey LaJoie 24.9 18 +6.9
34 Alex Bowman 14.0 34 -20.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Joey Logano: has 23 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 7.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race?
Joey Logano won the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race at Phoenix Raceway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race held?
The 2022 NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 6, 2022.