Xfinity 500

Martinsville Speedway — October 30, 2022

Christopher Bell
Winner
500
Laps
20
Entries
5
Leaders

Christopher Bell won the 2022 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway on October 30, 2022, leading 150 of 500 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 30, 2022
Season
2022
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 7 +6 Christopher Bell
2 8 +6 Kyle Larson
3 12 +9 Ryan Blaney
4 27 +23 Ross Chastain
5 25 +20 Denny Hamlin
6 14 +8 Joey Logano
7 5 -2 William Byron
8 21 +13 Bubba Wallace
9 19 +10 Chase Briscoe
10 1 -9 Chase Elliott
11 29 +18 Harrison Burton
12 30 +18 Daniel Suarez
13 10 -3 Todd Gilliland
14 3 -11 Cole Custer
15 2 -13 Aric Almirola
16 6 -10 Kevin Harvick
17 16 -1 Michael McDowell
18 24 +6 Erik Jones
19 Ty Gibbs
20 20 Martin Truex, Jr.
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Chase Elliott 1 1 20
William Byron 2 2 18
Cole Custer 3 5 14
Ryan Blaney 7 4 11
Joey Logano 8 3 11
Aric Almirola 5 7 10
Christopher Bell 4 9 9
Kevin Harvick 6 10 6
Ty Gibbs
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Christopher Bell 8.6 1 +7.6
2 Kyle Larson 8.6 2 +6.6
3 Ryan Blaney 6.8 3 +3.8
4 Ross Chastain 13.8 4 +9.8
5 Denny Hamlin 6.8 5 +1.8
6 Joey Logano 12.1 6 +6.1
7 William Byron 10.3 7 +3.3
8 Bubba Wallace 14.0 8 +6.0
9 Chase Briscoe 12.6 9 +3.6
10 Chase Elliott 8.3 10 -1.7
12 Daniel Suarez 15.6 12 +3.6
13 Todd Gilliland 17.1 13 +4.1
14 Cole Custer 23.0 14 +9.0
17 Michael McDowell 15.0 17 -2.0
18 Erik Jones 17.7 18 -0.3
19 Ty Gibbs 12.6 19 -6.4
20 Martin Truex, Jr. 13.8 20 -6.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Christopher Bell: has 16 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 12.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 30 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P3 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 Xfinity 500?
Christopher Bell won the 2022 Xfinity 500 at Martinsville Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2022 Xfinity 500 held?
The 2022 Xfinity 500 was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 30, 2022.