NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond

Richmond Raceway — April 2, 2022

Ty Gibbs
Winner
250
Laps
38
Entries
3
Leaders

Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway on April 2, 2022, leading 114 of 250 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 2, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Ty Gibbs
2 2 John Hunter Nemechek
3 11 +8 Sam Mayer
4 9 +5 A.J. Allmendinger
5 24 +19 Riley Herbst
6 16 +10 Daniel Hemric
7 12 +5 Josh Berry
8 26 +18 Brandon Brown
9 8 -1 Ryan Sieg
10 10 Parker Retzlaff
11 38 +27 Jeb Burton
12 19 +7 Anthony Alfredo
13 5 -8 Brandon Jones
14 14 Justin Allgaier
15 36 +21 Landon Cassill
16 6 -10 Ryan Preece
17 25 +8 Mason Massey
18 4 -14 Austin Hill
19 20 +1 Alex Labbe
20 7 -13 Jeremy Clements
21 3 -18 Noah Gragson
22 13 -9 Sheldon Creed
23 33 +10 David Starr
24 22 -2 Rajah Caruth
25 15 -10 Brett Moffitt
26 31 +5 Derek Griffith
27 23 -4 Josh Williams
28 29 +1 Kyle Weatherman
29 27 -2 Joe Graf Jr.
30 21 -9 Myatt Snider
31 32 +1 Bayley Currey
32 35 +3 J.J. Yeley
33 17 -16 Jade Buford
34 37 +3 Joey Gase
35 18 -17 Stefan Parsons
36 28 -8 Ryan Vargas
37 34 -3 Kyle Sieg
38 30 -8 Brennan Poole
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ty Gibbs 12.6 1 +11.6
2 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 2 +18.1
4 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 4 +14.3
5 Riley Herbst 22.1 5 +17.1
7 Josh Berry 19.0 7 +12.0
12 Anthony Alfredo 22.0 12 +10.0
14 Justin Allgaier 17.7 14 +3.7
16 Ryan Preece 10.8 16 -5.2
18 Austin Hill 20.2 18 +2.2
21 Noah Gragson 23.0 21 +2.0
23 David Starr 20.2 23 -2.8
32 J.J. Yeley 28.1 32 -3.9
34 Joey Gase 22.0 34 -12.0
38 Brennan Poole 23.1 38 -14.9

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ty Gibbs: has 8 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 16.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 20.3 avg finish, finishing P16 on the day.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 8 starts, 13.9 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond?
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond was held at Richmond Raceway on April 2, 2022.