NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega

Talladega Superspeedway — April 23, 2022

Noah Gragson
Winner
124
Laps
38
Entries
14
Leaders

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway on April 23, 2022, leading 7 of 124 laps. Jeffrey Earnhardt finished second; A.J. Allmendinger rounded out the podium. The race featured 14 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 23, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
14 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 19 +18 Noah Gragson
2 1 -1 Jeffrey Earnhardt
3 13 +10 A.J. Allmendinger
4 10 +6 Ryan Sieg
5 6 +1 Landon Cassill
6 12 +6 Anthony Alfredo
7 20 +13 Riley Herbst
8 24 +16 Joe Graf Jr.
9 31 +22 Myatt Snider
10 18 +8 Brett Moffitt
11 16 +5 Josh Berry
12 21 +9 Alex Labbe
13 9 -4 Drew Dollar
14 32 +18 Shane Lee
15 22 +7 Jeb Burton
16 36 +20 Joey Gase
17 29 +12 Bayley Currey
18 37 +19 Kyle Sieg
19 26 +7 Josh Williams
20 7 -13 Ryan Vargas
21 33 +12 Gray Gaulding
22 11 -11 Justin Allgaier
23 34 +11 Jeremy Clements
24 4 -20 Sheldon Creed
25 23 -2 Caesar Bacarella
26 15 -11 Brandon Jones
27 2 -25 Austin Hill
28 14 -14 Sam Mayer
29 8 -21 Kaz Grala
30 17 -13 Brandon Brown
31 27 -4 Matt Mills
32 38 +6 Ryan Ellis
33 35 +2 David Starr
34 5 -29 Daniel Hemric
35 3 -32 Ty Gibbs
36 28 -8 J.J. Yeley
37 25 -12 Mason Massey
38 30 -8 Chandler Smith
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Noah Gragson 24.0 1 +23.0
3 A.J. Allmendinger 20.1 3 +17.1
6 Anthony Alfredo 23.7 6 +17.7
7 Riley Herbst 23.7 7 +16.7
11 Josh Berry 24.0 11 +13.0
16 Joey Gase 23.7 16 +7.7
22 Justin Allgaier 21.1 22 -0.9
27 Austin Hill 24.0 27 -3.0
33 David Starr 21.1 33 -11.9
35 Ty Gibbs 22.9 35 -12.1
36 J.J. Yeley 25.2 36 -10.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Noah Gragson: has 18 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 13.9 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • A.J. Allmendinger: was the model’s top pick based on 32 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 19.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega?
Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega at Talladega Superspeedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Talladega was held at Talladega Superspeedway on April 23, 2022.