NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono

Pocono Raceway — July 23, 2022

Noah Gragson

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2022, leading 43 of 90 laps. Ty Gibbs finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, July 23, 2022

Track

Pocono Raceway

Season

2022

Winner

Noah Gragson

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	9	+8	Noah Gragson	90	—	Running	43	54
2	2	—	Ty Gibbs	90	—	Running	3	51
3	7	+4	Josh Berry	90	—	Running	9	45
4	4	—	A.J. Allmendinger	90	—	Running	—	45
5	6	+1	Sheldon Creed	90	—	Running	—	45
6	12	+6	Sam Mayer	90	—	Running	—	31
7	1	-6	Justin Allgaier	90	—	Running	22	45
8	8	—	Austin Hill	90	—	Running	4	31
9	13	+4	Daniel Hemric	90	—	Running	—	32
10	16	+6	Cole Custer	90	—	Running	—	0
11	21	+10	Landon Cassill	90	—	Running	—	29
12	14	+2	Riley Herbst	90	—	Running	4	25
13	26	+13	Brandon Brown	90	—	Running	—	24
14	28	+14	Myatt Snider	90	—	Running	—	23
15	15	—	Ryan Sieg	90	—	Running	—	22
16	24	+8	Anthony Alfredo	90	—	Running	3	21
17	3	-14	Brandon Jones	90	—	Running	—	37
18	17	-1	Brett Moffitt	90	—	Running	2	19
19	25	+6	Kyle Weatherman	90	—	Running	—	18
20	27	+7	Sage Karam	90	—	Running	—	17
21	33	+12	Josh Williams	90	—	Running	—	16
22	20	-2	Kyle Sieg	90	—	Running	—	15
23	30	+7	Stefan Parsons	90	—	Running	—	0
24	29	+5	Mason Massey	90	—	Running	—	13
25	35	+10	Ryan Vargas	89	—	Running	—	12
26	23	-3	Bayley Currey	89	—	Running	—	11
27	34	+7	David Starr	89	—	Running	—	10
28	38	+10	J.J. Yeley	89	—	Running	—	9
29	36	+7	Patrick Emerling	89	—	Running	—	8
30	37	+7	Timmy Hill	89	—	Running	—	0
31	5	-26	Sammy Smith	53	—	DNF	—	9
32	18	-14	Jeremy Clements	48	—	DNF	—	5
33	19	-14	Jeb Burton	46	—	DNF	—	4
34	10	-24	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	45	—	DNF	—	0
35	11	-24	Santino Ferrucci	45	—	DNF	—	2
36	31	-5	Ronnie Bassett, Jr.	45	—	DNF	—	1
37	22	-15	Alex Labbe	1	—	DNF	—	1
38	32	-6	Rajah Caruth	1	—	DNF	—	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Noah Gragson	21.4	1	+20.4	High Confidence
2	Ty Gibbs	14.5	2	+12.5	Coinflip
3	Josh Berry	22.9	3	+19.9	High Confidence
4	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	4	+14.3	Moderate
7	Justin Allgaier	18.3	7	+11.3	Coinflip
8	Austin Hill	20.9	8	+12.9	Moderate
10	Cole Custer	22.9	10	+12.9	High Confidence
12	Riley Herbst	21.4	12	+9.4	High Confidence
16	Anthony Alfredo	20.9	16	+4.9	Moderate
27	David Starr	20.9	27	-6.1	Moderate
28	J.J. Yeley	28.8	28	+0.8	High Confidence
30	Timmy Hill	23.9	30	-6.1	High Confidence
34	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	19.9	34	-14.1	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Noah Gragson: has 6 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Ty Gibbs: was the model’s top pick based on 7 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 12.6 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono?

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway.

Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono held?

The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono was held at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2022.