Ruoff Mortgage 500
Phoenix Raceway — March 13, 2022
Chase Briscoe
Winner
312
Laps
39
Entries
6
Leaders
Chase Briscoe won the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 at Phoenix Raceway on March 13, 2022, leading 101 of 312 laps. Ross Chastain finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 13, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Chase Briscoe |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 3 | 10 | +7 | Tyler Reddick |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Ryan Blaney |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Kurt Busch |
| 6 | 35 | +29 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 8 | 1 | -7 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Daniel Suarez |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Chris Buescher |
| 11 | 34 | +23 | Chase Elliott |
| 12 | 12 | — | Aric Almirola |
| 13 | 22 | +9 | Denny Hamlin |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Alex Bowman |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Ty Dillon |
| 16 | 28 | +12 | Cole Custer |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Justin Haley |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | William Byron |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Todd Gilliland |
| 20 | — | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 21 | — | — | Austin Cindric |
| 22 | — | — | Christopher Bell |
| 23 | — | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 24 | — | — | David Ragan |
| 25 | — | — | J.J. Yeley |
| 26 | — | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | — | — | Todd Gilliland |
| 28 | — | — | Cody Ware |
| 29 | — | — | Cole Custer |
| 30 | — | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 31 | — | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 32 | — | — | Joey Logano |
| 33 | — | — | Ty Dillon |
| 34 | 2 | -32 | Kyle Larson |
| 35 | — | — | Greg Biffle |
| 36 | — | — | Daniel Hemric |
| 37 | — | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 38 | — | — | Chris Buescher |
| 39 | — | — | Tyler Reddick |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross Chastain | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Joey Logano | 1 | 3 | — | 18 |
| Denny Hamlin | 7 | 4 | — | 11 |
| William Byron | 6 | 5 | — | 11 |
| Kyle Busch | 4 | 33 | — | 7 |
| Chase Elliott | 15 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Tyler Reddick | 9 | 21 | — | 2 |
| Aric Almirola | 19 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Daniel Suarez | 11 | 10 | — | 1 |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Christopher Bell | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| David Ragan | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Greg Biffle | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Buescher | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 25 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 2 | +11.8 |
| 3 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 3 | +6.9 |
| 4 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 4 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 7 | +8.6 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 8 | +4.1 |
| 9 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 9 | +6.6 |
| 10 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 10 | +0.3 |
| 11 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 11 | -2.7 |
| 13 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 13 | -6.2 |
| 14 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 14 | 0.0 |
| 15 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 15 | +9.3 |
| 16 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 16 | +7.0 |
| 17 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 17 | +4.2 |
| 18 | William Byron | 10.3 | 18 | -7.7 |
| 19 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 19 | -1.9 |
| 20 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 20 | -1.7 |
| 21 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 21 | -4.0 |
| 22 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 22 | -13.4 |
| 23 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 23 | -11.0 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Briscoe: has 10 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 17.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 7.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P4 on the day.
- Ross Chastain: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P14. Track history: 15 starts, 14.6 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500?
Chase Briscoe won the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Stewart-Haas Racing.
Where was the 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 held?
The 2022 Ruoff Mortgage 500 was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 13, 2022.