YellaWood 500

Talladega Superspeedway — October 2, 2022

Chase Elliott
Winner
188
Laps
25
Entries
17
Leaders

Chase Elliott won the 2022 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 2, 2022, leading 10 of 188 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Michael McDowell rounded out the podium. The race featured 17 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 2, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
17 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 19 +18 Chase Elliott
2 1 -1 Ryan Blaney
3 22 +19 Michael McDowell
4 17 +13 Ross Chastain
5 2 -3 Denny Hamlin
6 14 +8 Erik Jones
7 33 +26 Todd Gilliland
8 23 +15 Daniel Suarez
9 8 -1 Austin Cindric
10 6 -4 Chase Briscoe
11 31 +20 Landon Cassill
12 3 -9 William Byron
13 13 Austin Dillon
14 5 -9 Aric Almirola
15 28 +13 Justin Haley
16 27 +11 Bubba Wallace
17 4 -13 Christopher Bell
18 7 -11 Kyle Larson
19 Noah Gragson
20 11 -9 Kyle Busch
21 25 +4 Cole Custer
25 26 +1 Chris Buescher
26 20 -6 Martin Truex, Jr.
28 12 -16 Tyler Reddick
35 30 -5 Corey LaJoie
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Chase Elliott 3 2 17
William Byron 1 4 17
Chase Briscoe 2 8 12
Tyler Reddick 4 6 12
Ryan Blaney 13 1 10
Kyle Larson 7 5 10
Christopher Bell 6 29 5
Ross Chastain 18 7 4
Austin Dillon 10 9 3
Noah Gragson
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 23 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.6 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Elliott 10.4 1 +9.4
2 Ryan Blaney 13.9 2 +11.9
3 Michael McDowell 20.0 3 +17.0
4 Ross Chastain 17.4 4 +13.4
5 Denny Hamlin 16.0 5 +11.0
6 Erik Jones 18.5 6 +12.5
7 Todd Gilliland 22.9 7 +15.9
8 Daniel Suarez 15.1 8 +7.1
9 Austin Cindric 20.1 9 +11.1
10 Chase Briscoe 21.7 10 +11.7
12 William Byron 13.9 12 +1.9
13 Austin Dillon 23.4 13 +10.4
15 Justin Haley 23.4 15 +8.4
16 Bubba Wallace 16.0 16 0.0
17 Christopher Bell 17.4 17 +0.4
18 Kyle Larson 18.5 18 +0.5
19 Noah Gragson 24.0 19 +5.0
20 Kyle Busch 15.1 20 -4.9
21 Cole Custer 23.4 21 +2.4
25 Chris Buescher 13.6 25 -11.4

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Elliott: has 22 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • Michael McDowell: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 27 starts, 23.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 YellaWood 500?
Chase Elliott won the 2022 YellaWood 500 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2022 YellaWood 500 held?
The 2022 YellaWood 500 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 2, 2022.