Bass Pro Shops Night Race
Bristol Motor Speedway, September 16, 2023
Denny Hamlin
Winner
500
Laps
36
Entries
6
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 16, 2023, leading 142 of 500 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Christopher Bell rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 16, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 36 | +34 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Christopher Bell |
| 4 | 20 | +16 | Chris Buescher |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Ty Gibbs |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | Michael McDowell |
| 7 | 7 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | William Byron |
| 10 | 25 | +15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 11 | 16 | +5 | Carson Hocevar |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Ryan Preece |
| 13 | 13 | — | Alex Bowman |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 16 | 30 | +14 | Todd Gilliland |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Austin Dillon |
| 18 | 26 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 19 | 5 | -14 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Kyle Busch |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Daniel Suarez |
| 22 | 11 | -11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 23 | 23 | — | Ross Chastain |
| 24 | 31 | +7 | Erik Jones |
| 25 | 10 | -15 | Corey LaJoie |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | J.J. Yeley |
| 27 | 14 | -13 | Chase Briscoe |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Harrison Burton |
| 29 | 21 | -8 | Kevin Harvick |
| 30 | 22 | -8 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | B.J. McLeod |
| 32 | 29 | -3 | Austin Cindric |
| 33 | 33 | — | Ty Dillon |
| 34 | 28 | -6 | Joey Logano |
| 35 | 19 | -16 | Justin Haley |
| 36 | 27 | -9 | Ryan Newman |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Bell | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kyle Larson | 8 | 3 | — | 11 |
| Ty Gibbs | 10 | 2 | — | 10 |
| William Byron | 4 | 8 | — | 10 |
| Corey LaJoie | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Bubba Wallace | 3 | — | — | 8 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 4 | — | 7 |
| Tyler Reddick | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| Michael McDowell | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Ross Chastain | 6 | — | — | 5 |
| Chris Buescher | — | 7 | — | 4 |
| Brad Keselowski | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Ryan Preece | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | 5 | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Aric Almirola | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Harvick | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 2 | +8.3 |
| 3 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 3 | +5.3 |
| 4 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 4 | +8.0 |
| 5 | Ty Gibbs | 8.6 | 5 | +3.6 |
| 6 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 6 | +9.6 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 7 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 8 | +5.8 |
| 9 | William Byron | 10.8 | 9 | +1.8 |
| 10 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.4 | 10 | +10.4 |
| 11 | Carson Hocevar | 15.6 | 11 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 12 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 13 | +2.6 |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 14 | -1.4 |
| 15 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 15 | -3.0 |
| 16 | Todd Gilliland | 17.7 | 16 | +1.7 |
| 17 | Austin Dillon | 17.7 | 17 | +0.7 |
| 19 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 19 | -5.0 |
| 21 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 21 | -7.0 |
| 22 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 22 | -15.2 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 49 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 14.5 avg finish (4 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P20. Track history: 30 starts, 17.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race?
Denny Hamlin won the 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race held?
The 2023 Bass Pro Shops Night Race was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 16, 2023.