Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway, May 29, 2023

Ryan Blaney
Winner
400
Laps
37
Entries
13
Leaders

Ryan Blaney won the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2023, leading 163 of 400 laps. William Byron finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Monday, May 29, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Ryan Blaney
2 1 -1 William Byron
3 18 +15 Martin Truex, Jr.
4 7 +3 Bubba Wallace
5 15 +10 Tyler Reddick
6 5 -1 Kyle Busch
7 10 +3 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
8 11 +3 Chris Buescher
9 33 +24 Austin Dillon
10 29 +19 Zane Smith
11 2 -9 Kevin Harvick
12 31 +19 Alex Bowman
13 22 +9 Ryan Preece
14 27 +13 A.J. Allmendinger
15 16 +1 Justin Haley
16 36 +20 J.J. Yeley
17 25 +8 Corey LaJoie
18 13 -5 Harrison Burton
19 3 -16 Brad Keselowski
20 20 Chase Briscoe
21 17 -4 Joey Logano
22 14 -8 Ross Chastain
23 24 +1 Daniel Suarez
24 9 -15 Christopher Bell
25 23 -2 Aric Almirola
26 19 -7 Ty Gibbs
27 32 +5 Ty Dillon
28 30 +2 Michael McDowell
29 34 +5 B.J. McLeod
30 12 -18 Kyle Larson
31 21 -10 Austin Cindric
32 26 -6 Erik Jones
33 35 +2 Todd Gilliland
34 6 -28 Chase Elliott
35 4 -31 Denny Hamlin
36 28 -8 Noah Gragson
37 37 Jimmie Johnson
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Ryan Blaney 3 5 1 24
William Byron 1 8 4 20
Tyler Reddick 4 2 16
Martin Truex, Jr. 5 3 14
Christopher Bell 2 6 14
Kevin Harvick 2 8 12
Brad Keselowski 8 3 11
Chris Buescher 1 10
Ty Gibbs 7 5 10
Kyle Busch 7 7 8
Joey Logano 4 7
Kyle Larson 9 6 7
Denny Hamlin 6 5
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 10 9 3
Ross Chastain 9 2
Bubba Wallace 10 1
Alex Bowman 10 1
Austin Dillon
Zane Smith
Ryan Preece
A.J. Allmendinger
Justin Haley
J.J. Yeley
Corey LaJoie
Harrison Burton
Chase Briscoe
Daniel Suarez
Aric Almirola
Ty Dillon
Michael McDowell
B.J. McLeod
Austin Cindric
Erik Jones
Todd Gilliland
Chase Elliott
Noah Gragson
Jimmie Johnson
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 33 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ryan Blaney 8.2 1 +7.2
2 William Byron 10.7 2 +8.7
3 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 3 +12.4
4 Bubba Wallace 12.7 4 +8.7
5 Tyler Reddick 11.2 5 +6.2
7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Chris Buescher 9.2 8 +1.2
9 Austin Dillon 19.9 9 +10.9
10 Zane Smith 18.3 10 +8.3
12 Alex Bowman 16.2 12 +4.2
13 Ryan Preece 13.3 13 +0.3
14 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 14 +3.1
15 Justin Haley 20.9 15 +5.9
16 J.J. Yeley 28.6 16 +12.6
17 Corey LaJoie 22.2 17 +5.2
19 Brad Keselowski 15.4 19 -3.6
20 Chase Briscoe 7.8 20 -12.2
21 Joey Logano 11.9 21 -9.1
22 Ross Chastain 14.5 22 -7.5
23 Daniel Suarez 12.7 23 -10.3

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ryan Blaney: has 24 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 17.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 40 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P35 on the day.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P20. Track history: 25 starts, 17.3 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 Coca-Cola 600?
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2023 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2023.