Coca-Cola 600

Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 29, 2023

Ryan Blaney
Winner
400
Laps
36
Entries
13
Leaders

Ryan Blaney won the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2023, leading 163 of 400 laps. William Byron finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Monday, May 29, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
13 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 14 +13 Ryan Blaney
2 1 -1 William Byron
3 2 -1 Martin Truex, Jr.
4 10 +6 Bubba Wallace
5 7 +2 Tyler Reddick
6 25 +19 Kyle Busch
7 22 +15 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
8 18 +10 Chris Buescher
9 23 +14 Austin Dillon
10 Zane Smith
11 4 -7 Kevin Harvick
12 20 +8 Alex Bowman
13 34 +21 Ryan Preece
14 16 +2 A.J. Allmendinger
15 19 +4 Justin Haley
16 28 +12 J.J. Yeley
17 12 -5 Corey LaJoie
18 26 +8 Harrison Burton
19 13 -6 Brad Keselowski
20 29 +9 Chase Briscoe
21 Kyle Busch
22 Noah Gragson
23 Austin Cindric
24 5 -19 Christopher Bell
25 Cole Custer
26 J.J. Yeley
27 Corey LaJoie
28 15 -13 Michael McDowell
29 Chase Briscoe
30 3 -27 Kyle Larson
31 Ryan Preece
32 B.J. McLeod
33 Justin Haley
34 35 +1 Chase Elliott
35 8 -27 Denny Hamlin
36 Daniel Suarez
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Denny Hamlin 3 4 15
Tyler Reddick 4 6 12
Martin Truex, Jr. 2 10 10
Kyle Larson 24 1 10
William Byron 23 3 8
Bubba Wallace 7 9 6
Alex Bowman 32 5 6
A.J. Allmendinger 5 11 6
Michael McDowell 6 20 5
Ryan Blaney 27 8 3
Justin Haley 8 16 3
Chris Buescher 9 13 2
Zane Smith
Kyle Busch
Noah Gragson
Austin Cindric
Cole Custer
J.J. Yeley
Corey LaJoie
Chase Briscoe
Ryan Preece
B.J. McLeod
Justin Haley
Daniel Suarez
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 28 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Ryan Blaney 9.2 1 +8.2
2 William Byron 10.7 2 +8.7
3 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 3 +12.4
4 Bubba Wallace 12.7 4 +8.7
5 Tyler Reddick 6.2 5 +1.2
6 Kyle Busch 17.0 6 +11.0
7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Chris Buescher 9.2 8 +1.2
9 Austin Dillon 17.1 9 +8.1
10 Zane Smith 19.1 10 +9.1
12 Alex Bowman 13.5 12 +1.5
13 Ryan Preece 10.1 13 -2.9
14 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 14 +4.3
15 Justin Haley 19.9 15 +4.9
16 J.J. Yeley 28.8 16 +12.8
17 Corey LaJoie 22.2 17 +5.2
19 Brad Keselowski 11.2 19 -7.8
20 Chase Briscoe 11.9 20 -8.1
22 Noah Gragson 21.4 22 -0.6
23 Austin Cindric 15.4 23 -7.6

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Ryan Blaney: has 21 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P5 on the day.
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P20. Track history: 24 starts, 18.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 Coca-Cola 600?
Ryan Blaney won the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2023 Coca-Cola 600 held?
The 2023 Coca-Cola 600 was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 29, 2023.