Cook Out Southern 500

Darlington Raceway — September 3, 2023

Kyle Larson
Winner
499
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders

Kyle Larson won the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2023, leading 55 of 499 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Chris Buescher rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 3, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Kyle Larson
2 8 +6 Tyler Reddick
3 5 +2 Chris Buescher
4 3 -1 William Byron
5 10 +5 Ross Chastain
6 21 +15 Brad Keselowski
7 7 Bubba Wallace
8 35 +27 Chase Elliott
9 12 +3 Ryan Blaney
10 23 +13 Erik Jones
11 6 -5 Kyle Busch
12 9 -3 Joey Logano
13 22 +9 A.J. Allmendinger
14 13 -1 Aric Almirola
15 17 +2 Chase Briscoe
16 30 +14 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
17 25 +8 Carson Hocevar
18 4 -14 Martin Truex, Jr.
19 24 +5 Kevin Harvick
20 16 -4 Austin Dillon
21 Erik Jones
22 28 +6 Corey LaJoie
23 1 -22 Christopher Bell
24 Ty Dillon
25 15 -10 Denny Hamlin
26 Tyler Reddick
27 Kyle Busch
28 A.J. Allmendinger
29 Ryan Newman
30 26 -4 J.J. Yeley
31 Carson Hocevar
32 Alex Bowman
33 Brad Keselowski
34 Daniel Suarez
35 J.J. Yeley
36 B.J. McLeod

* Laps led data may be incomplete for this race.

Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kyle Larson 1 1 20
Christopher Bell 2 3 17
Brad Keselowski 3 5 14
Denny Hamlin 7 4 11
Tyler Reddick 4 9 9
Ross Chastain 23 2 9
Ryan Blaney 6 8 8
Kyle Busch 8 7 7
William Byron 10 6 6
Martin Truex, Jr. 5 20 6
Kevin Harvick 9 12 2
Bubba Wallace 11 10 1
Erik Jones
Ty Dillon
Tyler Reddick
Kyle Busch
A.J. Allmendinger
Ryan Newman
Carson Hocevar
Alex Bowman
Brad Keselowski
Daniel Suarez
J.J. Yeley
B.J. McLeod
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 26 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Larson 12.7 1 +11.7
2 Tyler Reddick 6.2 2 +4.2
3 Chris Buescher 9.2 3 +6.2
4 William Byron 10.7 4 +6.7
5 Ross Chastain 13.3 5 +8.3
6 Brad Keselowski 11.2 6 +5.2
7 Bubba Wallace 12.7 7 +5.7
8 Chase Elliott 7.8 8 -0.2
9 Ryan Blaney 9.2 9 +0.2
10 Erik Jones 16.7 10 +6.7
11 Kyle Busch 17.0 11 +6.0
12 Joey Logano 14.7 12 +2.7
13 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 13 +5.3
15 Chase Briscoe 11.9 15 -3.1
16 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 16 +3.9
17 Carson Hocevar 13.1 17 -3.9
18 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 18 -2.6
20 Austin Dillon 17.1 20 -2.9
22 Corey LaJoie 22.2 22 +0.2
23 Christopher Bell 10.7 23 -12.3

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Larson: has 27 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P2 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500?
Kyle Larson won the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 held?
The 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 was held at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2023.