Cook Out Southern 500
Darlington Raceway, September 3, 2023
Kyle Larson
Winner
367
Laps
36
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Larson won the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2023, leading 55 of 367 laps. Tyler Reddick finished second; Chris Buescher rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 3, 2023
Track
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | +17 | Kyle Larson |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Tyler Reddick |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 4 | 23 | +19 | William Byron |
| 5 | 27 | +22 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Bubba Wallace |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 4 | -5 | Ryan Blaney |
| 10 | 20 | +10 | Erik Jones |
| 11 | 11 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Joey Logano |
| 13 | 16 | +3 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 14 | 10 | -4 | Aric Almirola |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Chase Briscoe |
| 16 | 25 | +9 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 18 | 31 | +13 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 19 | 7 | -12 | Kevin Harvick |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Austin Dillon |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Ty Gibbs |
| 22 | 22 | — | Corey LaJoie |
| 23 | 1 | -22 | Christopher Bell |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Justin Haley |
| 25 | 2 | -23 | Denny Hamlin |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Todd Gilliland |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Ryan Newman |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | Ryan Preece |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Ty Dillon |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 14 | -17 | Austin Cindric |
| 32 | 9 | -23 | Michael McDowell |
| 33 | 24 | -9 | Alex Bowman |
| 34 | 21 | -13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Harrison Burton |
| 36 | 36 | — | B.J. McLeod |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denny Hamlin | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Kyle Larson | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Tyler Reddick | 2 | 4 | — | 16 |
| Ryan Blaney | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Erik Jones | — | 3 | — | 8 |
| Brad Keselowski | 6 | 9 | — | 7 |
| Kevin Harvick | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| William Byron | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Kyle Busch | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Chase Elliott | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Austin Dillon | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Christopher Bell | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Chris Buescher | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Aric Almirola | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Newman | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 31 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.9 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | 13.1 | 1 | +12.1 |
| 2 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 2 | +9.2 |
| 3 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| 4 | William Byron | 10.7 | 4 | +6.7 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 5 | +9.5 |
| 6 | Brad Keselowski | 15.4 | 6 | +9.4 |
| 7 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 7 | +5.7 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 10.1 | 8 | +2.1 |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 8.2 | 9 | -0.8 |
| 10 | Erik Jones | 14.7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 12 | Joey Logano | 11.9 | 12 | -0.1 |
| 13 | A.J. Allmendinger | 17.1 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 15 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 15 | -7.2 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 16 | +3.9 |
| 17 | Carson Hocevar | 13.2 | 17 | -3.8 |
| 18 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 18 | -2.6 |
| 20 | Austin Dillon | 19.9 | 20 | -0.1 |
| 21 | Ty Gibbs | 10.7 | 21 | -10.3 |
| 22 | Corey LaJoie | 22.2 | 22 | +0.2 |
| 23 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 23 | -13.8 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Larson: has 25 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 12.4 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.5 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P25 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500?
Kyle Larson won the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 held?
The 2023 Cook Out Southern 500 was held at Darlington Raceway on September 3, 2023.