NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — August 25, 2023
Justin Allgaier
Winner
110
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders
Justin Allgaier won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on August 25, 2023, leading 14 of 110 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; Daniel Hemric rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, August 25, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | +11 | Justin Allgaier |
| 2 | 2 | — | Sheldon Creed |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Parker Kligerman |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Cole Custer |
| 6 | 38 | +32 | Ryan Sieg |
| 7 | 23 | +16 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 8 | 20 | +12 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 9 | 33 | +24 | Gray Gaulding |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Justin Haley |
| 11 | 27 | +16 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 12 | 10 | -2 | Jeb Burton |
| 13 | 24 | +11 | Kyle Sieg |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Joey Gase |
| 15 | 37 | +22 | Jordan Anderson |
| 16 | 36 | +20 | Garrett Smithley |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Josh Berry |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Brett Moffitt |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Sam Mayer |
| 20 | 18 | -2 | Kaz Grala |
| 21 | 3 | -18 | Sammy Smith |
| 22 | 4 | -18 | Chandler Smith |
| 23 | 1 | -22 | Austin Hill |
| 24 | 16 | -8 | Riley Herbst |
| 25 | 25 | — | Blaine Perkins |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 27 | 21 | -6 | Josh Williams |
| 28 | 7 | -21 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 29 | 8 | -21 | Trevor Bayne |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Ryan Ellis |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 34 | 26 | -8 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 35 | 35 | — | Natalie Decker |
| 36 | 17 | -19 | Brandon Jones |
| 37 | 29 | -8 | Connor Mosack |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Alex Guenette |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 1 | +20.1 |
| 5 | Cole Custer | 23.4 | 5 | +18.4 |
| 8 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 8 | +15.7 |
| 10 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 10 | +13.4 |
| 14 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 14 | +9.7 |
| 17 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 17 | +7.0 |
| 23 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 23 | +1.0 |
| 24 | Riley Herbst | 23.7 | 24 | -0.3 |
| 28 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.5 | 28 | -7.5 |
| 30 | J.J. Yeley | 25.2 | 30 | -4.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Allgaier: has 32 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- John Hunter Nemechek: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 15.3 avg finish, finishing P28 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona?
Justin Allgaier won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 25, 2023.