NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 4, 2023

Austin Hill
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
8
Leaders

Austin Hill won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 4, 2023, leading 19 of 200 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 4, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Austin Hill
2 2 Justin Allgaier
3 1 -2 Chandler Smith
4 11 +7 Kyle Busch
5 5 Josh Berry
6 7 +1 John Hunter Nemechek
7 13 +6 Sam Mayer
8 10 +2 Riley Herbst
9 12 +3 Sheldon Creed
10 8 -2 Daniel Hemric
11 6 -5 Parker Kligerman
12 3 -9 Cole Custer
13 15 +2 Tyler Reddick
14 24 +10 Jeb Burton
15 17 +2 Joe Graf Jr.
16 26 +10 Kyle Weatherman
17 14 -3 Sammy Smith
18 32 +14 Alex Labbe
19 23 +4 Anthony Alfredo
20 22 +2 Kyle Sieg
21 19 -2 Brandon Jones
22 4 -18 Brett Moffitt
23 21 -2 Kaz Grala
24 18 -6 Ryan Sieg
25 25 Jeremy Clements
26 16 -10 Rajah Caruth
27 36 +9 Ryan Ellis
28 29 +1 Bayley Currey
29 35 +6 Jeffrey Earnhardt
30 27 -3 Josh Williams
31 31 Josh Bilicki
32 34 +2 Gray Gaulding
33 33 Brennan Poole
34 38 +4 Patrick Emerling
35 30 -5 Blaine Perkins
36 28 -8 Garrett Smithley
37 20 -17 Parker Retzlaff
38 37 -1 Joey Gase
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Austin Hill 20.9 1 +19.9
2 Justin Allgaier 18.3 2 +16.3
4 Kyle Busch 17.0 4 +13.0
5 Josh Berry 22.9 5 +17.9
6 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 6 +13.1
8 Riley Herbst 21.4 8 +13.4
12 Cole Custer 22.9 12 +10.9
13 Tyler Reddick 6.2 13 -6.8
19 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 19 +1.9
31 Josh Bilicki 28.6 31 -2.4
33 Brennan Poole 24.7 33 -8.3
38 Joey Gase 23.4 38 -14.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Austin Hill: has 19 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
Austin Hill won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 4, 2023.