NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono
Pocono Raceway — July 22, 2023
Austin Hill
Winner
92
Laps
38
Entries
8
Leaders
Austin Hill won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on July 22, 2023, leading 2 of 92 laps. Sam Mayer finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | +10 | Austin Hill |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Sam Mayer |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Chase Elliott |
| 4 | 21 | +17 | Riley Herbst |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 6 | 6 | — | Sammy Smith |
| 7 | 7 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 8 | 18 | +10 | Brett Moffitt |
| 9 | 22 | +13 | Parker Kligerman |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Daniel Suarez |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Sheldon Creed |
| 12 | 12 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 13 | 26 | +13 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Ty Dillon |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 20 | +4 | Kyle Sieg |
| 17 | 30 | +13 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 18 | 27 | +9 | Ryan Ellis |
| 19 | 35 | +16 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Chandler Smith |
| 21 | 34 | +13 | Garrett Smithley |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 23 | 9 | -14 | Justin Allgaier |
| 24 | 1 | -23 | Josh Berry |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | Kaz Grala |
| 26 | 36 | +10 | Patrick Emerling |
| 27 | 38 | +11 | Blaine Perkins |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Alex Labbe |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Brennan Poole |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Chad Chastain |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 32 | 5 | -27 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 33 | 10 | -23 | Cole Custer |
| 34 | 4 | -30 | Connor Mosack |
| 35 | 19 | -16 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | Josh Williams |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Corey Heim |
| 38 | 29 | -9 | Sage Karam |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 1 | +19.9 |
| 3 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 3 | +4.8 |
| 4 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 4 | +17.4 |
| 10 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 10 | +4.0 |
| 13 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 13 | +7.9 |
| 14 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 23 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 23 | -4.7 |
| 24 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 24 | -1.1 |
| 29 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 29 | -4.3 |
| 31 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 31 | -7.6 |
| 32 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 32 | -12.9 |
| 33 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 33 | -10.1 |
| 37 | Corey Heim | 20.9 | 37 | -16.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Austin Hill: has 12 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 17.1 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 7.9 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono?
Austin Hill won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono was held at Pocono Raceway on July 22, 2023.