Shriners Children's 500
Phoenix Raceway, March 10, 2024
Christopher Bell
Winner
312
Laps
36
Entries
6
Leaders
Christopher Bell won the 2024 Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway on March 10, 2024, leading 50 of 312 laps. Chris Buescher finished second; Ty Gibbs rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, March 10, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | +12 | Christopher Bell |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Chris Buescher |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Ty Gibbs |
| 4 | 18 | +14 | Brad Keselowski |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Ross Chastain |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Chase Briscoe |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Tyler Reddick |
| 11 | 1 | -10 | Denny Hamlin |
| 12 | 7 | -5 | Noah Gragson |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Carson Hocevar |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Bubba Wallace |
| 17 | 29 | +12 | Todd Gilliland |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | William Byron |
| 19 | 3 | -16 | Chase Elliott |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 22 | 31 | +9 | Kyle Busch |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Ryan Preece |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Justin Haley |
| 25 | 19 | -6 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 26 | 36 | +10 | Josh Berry |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Harrison Burton |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Daniel Hemric |
| 29 | 28 | -1 | Zane Smith |
| 30 | 32 | +2 | Kaz Grala |
| 31 | 4 | -27 | Erik Jones |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Austin Dillon |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Corey LaJoie |
| 34 | 23 | -11 | Joey Logano |
| 35 | 26 | -9 | Derek Kraus |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Austin Cindric |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Reddick | 1 | 2 | — | 19 |
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | 3 | — | 16 |
| William Byron | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Christopher Bell | — | 1 | — | 10 |
| Chase Elliott | 5 | 7 | — | 10 |
| Ty Gibbs | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Ryan Blaney | 7 | 6 | — | 9 |
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 10 | 5 | — | 7 |
| Erik Jones | 4 | — | — | 7 |
| Michael McDowell | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Noah Gragson | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Chase Briscoe | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Chris Buescher | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Hemric | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Kaz Grala | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Corey LaJoie | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Logano | — | — | — | — |
| Derek Kraus | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 32 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.2 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell | 8.3 | 1 | +7.3 |
| 2 | Chris Buescher | 12.0 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 3 | Ty Gibbs | 8.6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Brad Keselowski | 13.8 | 4 | +9.8 |
| 5 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 6 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 6 | +6.6 |
| 7 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 8 | +7.6 |
| 9 | Chase Briscoe | 8.6 | 9 | -0.4 |
| 10 | Tyler Reddick | 12.0 | 10 | +2.0 |
| 11 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 11 | -4.2 |
| 12 | Noah Gragson | 22.1 | 12 | +10.1 |
| 13 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 13 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Kyle Larson | 10.3 | 14 | -3.7 |
| 15 | Carson Hocevar | 15.6 | 15 | +0.6 |
| 16 | Bubba Wallace | 12.6 | 16 | -3.4 |
| 17 | Todd Gilliland | 17.7 | 17 | +0.7 |
| 18 | William Byron | 10.8 | 18 | -7.2 |
| 19 | Chase Elliott | 9.9 | 19 | -9.1 |
| 20 | Alex Bowman | 15.6 | 20 | -4.4 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Christopher Bell: has 15 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 11.7 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Blaney: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P12 vs predicted P22. Track history: 13 starts, 17.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 Shriners Children's 500?
Christopher Bell won the 2024 Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2024 Shriners Children's 500 held?
The 2024 Shriners Children's 500 was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 10, 2024.