NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona
Daytona International Speedway — August 22, 2025
Connor Zilisch
Winner
104
Laps
38
Entries
10
Leaders
Connor Zilisch won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on August 22, 2025, leading 12 of 104 laps. Sammy Smith finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, August 22, 2025
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Connor Zilisch |
| 2 | 3 | +1 | Sammy Smith |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Jesse Love |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Sam Mayer |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Dean Thompson |
| 8 | 36 | +28 | Garrett Smithley |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Brennan Poole |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Carson Kvapil |
| 11 | 31 | +20 | Ryan Ellis |
| 12 | 24 | +12 | William Sawalich |
| 13 | 34 | +21 | Patrick Emerling |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Blaine Perkins |
| 15 | 26 | +11 | Mason Maggio |
| 16 | 8 | -8 | Harrison Burton |
| 17 | 27 | +10 | Sheldon Creed |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Josh Bilicki |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Justin Haley |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Jeb Burton |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 22 | 38 | +16 | Natalie Decker |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Nick Sanchez |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 25 | 4 | -21 | Austin Hill |
| 26 | 35 | +9 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 27 | 30 | +3 | Kyle Sieg |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 29 | 15 | -14 | Rajah Caruth |
| 30 | 14 | -16 | Taylor Gray |
| 31 | 22 | -9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 32 | 9 | -23 | Christian Eckes |
| 33 | 33 | — | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 34 | 20 | -14 | Josh Williams |
| 35 | 17 | -18 | Daniel Dye |
| 36 | 16 | -20 | Jeremy Clements |
| 37 | 32 | -5 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 38 | 19 | -19 | Parker Retzlaff |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Connor Zilisch | 23.4 | 1 | +22.4 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 21.1 | 3 | +18.1 |
| 4 | Jesse Love | 22.9 | 4 | +18.9 |
| 9 | Brennan Poole | 25.2 | 9 | +16.2 |
| 18 | Josh Bilicki | 25.5 | 18 | +7.5 |
| 19 | Justin Haley | 23.4 | 19 | +4.4 |
| 21 | Joey Gase | 23.7 | 21 | +2.7 |
| 25 | Austin Hill | 24.0 | 25 | -1.0 |
| 35 | Daniel Dye | 22.9 | 35 | -12.1 |
| 37 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.7 | 37 | -13.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Connor Zilisch: has 4 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 19.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 32 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona?
Connor Zilisch won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on August 22, 2025.