Truck Series Preview

NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Championship Race

Homestead-Miami Speedway
Laps 134 Distance 201 mi Type intermediate Coverage FS1 · 7:30 PM ET
1.5
MI
asphalt
Surface
Race Date
Friday, November 6, 2026
7:30 PM ET
Band A · The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Tyler Reddick has 12 starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with 3 wins and a 6.3 average finish.
  • Chase Elliott has 13 starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 10.4 average finish.
  • Denny Hamlin has 27 starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with 3 wins and a 10.5 average finish.

Based on Truck Series results at Homestead-Miami Speedway from 1995-2026.

DID YOU KNOW?

Kyle Busch has won 6 times at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 12.1 average finish.

See Kyle Busch's full stats
LAST TIME HERE

Kyle Larson won the 2025 Straight Talk Wireless 400 at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

See Kyle Larson's results
Band B · The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

Band C · The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Championship Race on?

The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Championship Race airs on FS1 on Friday, November 6, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET, broadcast from Homestead-Miami Speedway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.

What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?

The NASCAR CRAFTSMAN Truck Series Championship Race green flag is set for 7:30 PM ET on Friday, November 6, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
#DriverElo RatingLast Finish
1Denny Hamlin
1624
P5
2Chase Elliott
1617
P18
3Tyler Reddick
1597
P8
4Chris Buescher
1591
P6
5Chase Briscoe
1579
P4
6Brad Keselowski
1570
P26
7William Byron
1561
P12
8Ryan Preece
1544
P9
9Bubba Wallace
1543
P3
10Christopher Bell
1539
P29
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Wed, May 13, 2026, 07:50 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Tyler Reddick Best in Field 6.2 18.2%
2 Chase Elliott 7.8 17.8%
3 Denny Hamlin 8.2 16.3%
4 Chris Buescher 9.2 15.4%
5 Ryan Blaney 9.2 12.7%
6 Ryan Preece 10.1 10.9%
7 Christopher Bell 10.7 9.6%
8 William Byron 10.7 8.4%
9 Brad Keselowski 11.2 7.6%
10 Chase Briscoe 11.9 6.4%
11 Kyle Larson 12.7 5.2%
12 Bubba Wallace 12.7 5.1%
13 Carson Hocevar 13.1 4.3%
14 Ross Chastain 13.3 3.8%
15 Alex Bowman 13.5 3.3%
16 Daniel Suarez 14.0 3.1%
17 Ty Gibbs 14.5 3.0%
18 Joey Logano 14.7 2.7%
19 Austin Cindric 15.4 2.2%
20 Erik Jones 16.7 1.7%
21 Casey Mears 16.9 1.4%
22 Michael McDowell 17.0 1.2%
23 Kyle Busch 17.0 1.1%
24 Austin Dillon 17.1 0.9%
25 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 0.7%
26 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 0.5%
27 Zane Smith 19.1 0.5%
28 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 0.5%
29 Todd Gilliland 19.1 0.4%
30 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 0.3%
31 Josh Berry 22.9 0.2%
32 Connor Zilisch 22.9 0.1%
33 Cole Custer 22.9 0.1%
34 Katherine Legge 21.4 0.1%
35 Noah Gragson 21.4 0.1%
36 Riley Herbst 21.4 0.1%
37 Ty Dillon 23.4 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 24.8 0.0%
39 Cody Ware 56.1 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Go Bowling at The Glen: Model picked Chase Elliott at P1 → Actual P24

(1/5 top-5 hits)

38% top-5 hit rate across 11 races

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Homestead-Miami Speedway reward the complete package — car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Kyle Larson 240 laps led
Corey Heim 203 laps led
Kyle Busch 195 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays
Kyle Busch 2.00 avg
Corey Heim 3.75 avg
Carson Hocevar 6.50 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks
Corey Heim 3.75 avg, 0 wins
Daniel Hemric 7.50 avg, 0 wins
Johnny Sauter 7.56 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins — lower ownership

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