Dollar Tree 301
New Hampshire Motor SpeedwayYour watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.
Your Drivers' Outlook
The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.
Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.
TV & Start Time
What channel is the Dollar Tree 301 on?
The Dollar Tree 301 airs on USA on Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET, broadcast from New Hampshire Motor Speedway. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?
The Dollar Tree 301 ran on Sunday, August 23, 2026 with a 2:00 PM ET green flag on USA.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | | P5 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | | P7 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | | P1 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | | P14 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | | P4 |
| 6 | Ty Gibbs | | P6 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | | P25 |
| 8 | William Byron | | P30 |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | | P9 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | | P11 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9
(0/5 top-5 hits)
35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races
History at New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Cup Series data from 1949-2026 (21 races)
Recent Results
| Year | Race | Winner |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Dollar Tree 301 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2025 | Mobil 1 301 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2024 | USA Today 301 | Christopher Bell |
| 2023 | Crayon 301 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 2022 | Ambetter 301 | Christopher Bell |
All Results at This Track
Laps Led Leaders
| Driver | Total Laps Led |
|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1120 |
| Kyle Busch | 909 |
| Denny Hamlin | 724 |
| Brad Keselowski | 595 |
| Ryan Blaney | 300 |
Track Type Tendencies
New Hampshire Motor Speedway is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.
Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.
Fantasy
High laps-led totals at this track
Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership