USA Today 301

New Hampshire Motor Speedway — June 23, 2024

Christopher Bell
Winner
305
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders

Christopher Bell won the 2024 USA Today 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on June 23, 2024, leading 149 of 305 laps. Chase Briscoe finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 23, 2024
Season
2024
Leaders
5 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 27 +26 Christopher Bell
2 6 +4 Chase Briscoe
3 5 +2 Josh Berry
4 9 +5 Kyle Larson
5 13 +8 Chris Buescher
6 25 +19 Tyler Reddick
7 35 +28 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
8 31 +23 John Hunter Nemechek
9 17 +8 Martin Truex, Jr.
10 24 +14 Ross Chastain
11 4 -7 Ryan Preece
12 2 -10 Todd Gilliland
13 40 +27 Erik Jones
14 20 +6 Harrison Burton
15 1 -14 Michael McDowell
16 26 +10 Ty Gibbs
17 37 +20 Carson Hocevar
18 10 -8 Chase Elliott
19 8 -11 Austin Cindric
20 Ty Dillon
21 Kyle Larson
22 Austin Dillon
23 Todd Gilliland
24 19 -5 Denny Hamlin
25 Austin Hill
26 Josh Berry
27 William Byron
28 Tyler Reddick
29 Ryan Blaney
30 Michael McDowell
31 Joey Logano
32 Justin Haley
33 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
34 Corey LaJoie
35 Shane van Gisbergen
36 Chase Elliott
37 Noah Gragson
38 Denny Hamlin
39 Ryan Preece
40 Daniel Suarez
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Todd Gilliland 6 5 11
Josh Berry 1 14 10
Chris Buescher 3 9 10
Kyle Larson 10 4 8
Austin Cindric 4 16 7
Michael McDowell 8 11 3
Ty Dillon
Kyle Larson
Austin Dillon
Todd Gilliland
Austin Hill
Josh Berry
William Byron
Tyler Reddick
Ryan Blaney
Michael McDowell
Joey Logano
Justin Haley
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Corey LaJoie
Shane van Gisbergen
Chase Elliott
Noah Gragson
Denny Hamlin
Ryan Preece
Daniel Suarez
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 30 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Christopher Bell 8.6 1 +7.6
2 Chase Briscoe 12.6 2 +10.6
3 Josh Berry 19.0 3 +16.0
4 Kyle Larson 8.6 4 +4.6
5 Chris Buescher 10.3 5 +5.3
6 Tyler Reddick 9.9 6 +3.9
7 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 20.1 7 +13.1
8 John Hunter Nemechek 20.1 8 +12.1
9 Martin Truex, Jr. 13.8 9 +4.8
10 Ross Chastain 13.8 10 +3.8
11 Ryan Preece 10.8 11 -0.2
12 Todd Gilliland 17.1 12 +5.1
13 Erik Jones 17.7 13 +4.7
15 Michael McDowell 15.0 15 0.0
16 Ty Gibbs 12.6 16 -3.4
17 Carson Hocevar 14.7 17 -2.3
18 Chase Elliott 8.3 18 -9.7
19 Austin Cindric 17.0 19 -2.0
20 Ty Dillon 24.3 20 +4.3
22 Austin Dillon 17.0 22 -5.0

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Christopher Bell: has 11 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 4.2 avg finish (7 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P24 on the day.
  • Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P19. Track history: 6 starts, 14.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 USA Today 301?
Christopher Bell won the 2024 USA Today 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2024 USA Today 301 held?
The 2024 USA Today 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on June 23, 2024.