Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — August 2, 2020
Brad Keselowski
Winner
301
Laps
20
Entries
7
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on August 2, 2020, leading 184 of 301 laps. Denny Hamlin finished second; Martin Truex, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, August 2, 2020
Season
2020
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 2 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 4 | 13 | +9 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Kevin Harvick |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Cole Custer |
| 9 | 1 | -8 | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 24 | +14 | Tyler Reddick |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | William Byron |
| 12 | 22 | +10 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Austin Dillon |
| 14 | 29 | +15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 15 | 4 | -11 | Alex Bowman |
| 16 | 35 | +19 | Ryan Preece |
| 17 | 16 | -1 | Kurt Busch |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | Clint Bowyer |
| 19 | 19 | — | Michael McDowell |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | Ryan Blaney |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Truex, Jr. | 1 | 1 | — | 20 |
| Denny Hamlin | 4 | 2 | — | 16 |
| Jimmie Johnson | 2 | 5 | — | 15 |
| Alex Bowman | 6 | 4 | — | 12 |
| Kevin Harvick | 10 | 3 | — | 9 |
| Chase Elliott | 3 | 13 | — | 8 |
| Kurt Busch | 5 | 10 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 7 | 17 | — | 4 |
| William Byron | 8 | 12 | — | 3 |
| Austin Dillon | 15 | 8 | — | 3 |
| Clint Bowyer | 12 | 9 | — | 2 |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 2 | +4.8 |
| 3 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 3 | +10.8 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 8 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 8 | +15.0 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Tyler Reddick | 9.9 | 10 | -0.1 |
| 11 | William Byron | 10.3 | 11 | -0.7 |
| 12 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 12 | +5.7 |
| 13 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 14 | +6.1 |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 15 | -1.0 |
| 16 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 16 | -5.2 |
| 19 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 19 | -4.0 |
| 20 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 20 | -13.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P2 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P23. Track history: 12 starts, 12.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2020 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301?
Brad Keselowski won the 2020 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2020 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 held?
The 2020 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on August 2, 2020.