Truck Series Preview

Ecosave 250

Charlotte Motor Speedway
Laps 167 Distance 251 mi Type intermediate Coverage FS1 · 5:00 PM ET
1.5
MI
asphalt
Surface
Green Flag In
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The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Historical Context

  • Denny Hamlin has 40 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 11.5 average finish.
  • Christopher Bell has 15 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 1 win and a 10.7 average finish.
  • Ryan Blaney has 24 starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with 2 wins and a 17.3 average finish.

Based on Truck Series results at Charlotte Motor Speedway from 1995-2026.

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the Ecosave 250 on?

The Ecosave 250 airs on FS1 on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, broadcast from Charlotte Motor Speedway. Every 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race airs on FS1, available through cable, satellite, and live-TV streaming services like YouTube TV, Hulu + Live TV, and fuboTV.

What time does the NASCAR Craftsman Truck race start today?

The Ecosave 250 green flag is set for 5:00 PM ET on Friday, October 9, 2026, airing on FS1. All NASCAR start times are listed in Eastern Time.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

NR-Rating Track Rankings
# Driver Elo Rating Last Finish
1 Denny Hamlin
1678
P3
2 Chase Briscoe
1600
P34
3 Christopher Bell
1576
P2
4 Ryan Blaney
1565
P7
5 Bubba Wallace
1559
P22
6 William Byron
1554
P9
7 Chase Elliott
1550
P37
8 Tyler Reddick
1550
P4
9 Chris Buescher
1548
P30
10 Kyle Larson
1545
P5
NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 07:16 AM ET

# Driver Exp. Finish Win %
1 Denny Hamlin Best in Field 6.2 18.2%
2 Christopher Bell 7.8 17.8%
3 Ryan Blaney 8.2 16.3%
4 Chase Briscoe 9.2 15.5%
5 Ty Gibbs 9.2 12.8%
6 Kyle Larson 10.1 11.1%
7 Bubba Wallace 10.7 9.9%
8 Tyler Reddick 10.7 8.8%
9 Joey Logano 11.2 7.4%
10 William Byron 11.2 7.4%
11 Chase Elliott 11.9 5.5%
12 Chris Buescher 12.7 5.1%
13 Ryan Preece 13.1 4.7%
14 Daniel Suarez 13.2 4.0%
15 Austin Cindric 13.3 3.6%
16 Carson Hocevar 14.0 3.1%
17 Ross Chastain 14.5 3.1%
18 Brad Keselowski 15.4 2.4%
19 Alex Bowman 15.4 2.2%
20 Erik Jones 15.4 1.9%
21 Michael McDowell 17.0 1.2%
22 Austin Dillon 17.1 0.9%
23 Todd Gilliland 18.3 0.8%
24 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 0.7%
25 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 0.5%
26 Shane van Gisbergen 19.1 0.5%
27 Casey Mears 19.1 0.4%
28 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 0.4%
29 Kevin Magnussen 19.9 0.3%
30 Josh Berry 19.9 0.3%
31 Zane Smith 20.9 0.2%
32 Noah Gragson 22.9 0.1%
33 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 21.4 0.1%
34 Riley Herbst 22.9 0.1%
35 Katherine Legge 22.9 0.1%
36 Ty Dillon 23.9 0.1%
37 Cole Custer 21.4 0.1%
38 B.J. McLeod 24.7 0.0%
39 Connor Zilisch 25.7 0.0%
40 Cody Ware 58.0 0.0%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9

(0/5 top-5 hits)

35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races

Track Type Tendencies

intermediate

Intermediate tracks like Charlotte Motor Speedway reward the complete package: car setup, pit strategy, and driver consistency all factor in. These are the races where elite teams separate themselves.

Track position and tire management are critical, especially in long green-flag runs.

Fantasy

Dominator Plays
Kyle Busch 454 laps led
Corey Heim 219 laps led
Carson Hocevar 105 laps led

High laps-led totals at this track

Consistency Plays
Kyle Busch 2.44 avg
Kaden Honeycutt 5.00 avg
Nick Sanchez 5.00 avg

50%+ top-5 rate at this track

Value Picks
Kaden Honeycutt 5.00 avg, 0 wins
Christopher Bell 5.50 avg, 0 wins
Brendan Gaughan 7.00 avg, 0 wins

Strong avg finish but no wins: lower ownership

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