Banquet 400

Kansas Speedway — October 1, 2006

Tony Stewart

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Tony Stewart won the 2006 Banquet 400 at Kansas Speedway on October 1, 2006, leading 5 of 267 laps. Casey Mears finished second; Mark Martin rounded out the podium. The race featured 13 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, October 1, 2006

Track

Kansas Speedway

Season

2006

Winner

Tony Stewart

Leaders

13 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	21	+20	Tony Stewart		267	—	Running	5	185
2	33	+31	Casey Mears	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	170
3	19	+16	Mark Martin		267	—	Running	—	165
4	32	+28	Dale Jarrett		267	—	Running	—	160
5	10	+5	Jeff Burton		267	—	Running	1	160
6	27	+21	Carl Edwards		267	—	Running	7	155
7	13	+6	Kyle Busch		267	—	Running	64	151
8	4	-4	Brian Vickers		267	—	Running	—	142
9	6	-3	Clint Bowyer		267	—	Running	43	143
10	12	+2	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		267	—	Running	18	139
11	23	+12	Martin Truex, Jr.		267	—	Running	—	130
12	29	+17	Greg Biffle		267	—	Running	2	132
13	36	+23	Ken Schrader		267	—	Running	—	124
14	3	-11	Jimmie Johnson		267	—	Running	105	131
15	14	-1	Kevin Harvick		266	—	Running	—	118
16	39	+23	Bill Elliott		266	—	Running	—	115
17	16	-1	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	112
18	25	+7	Denny Hamlin		266	—	Running	—	109
19	37	+18	Travis Kvapil		266	—	Running	1	111
20	28	+8	Sterling Marlin		266	—	Running	1	108
21	17	-4	Dave Blaney	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	100
22	20	-2	David Gilliland		266	—	Running	—	97
23	8	-15	Matt Kenseth		266	—	Running	—	94
24	15	-9	Ryan Newman	Dodge	266	—	Running	3	96
25	7	-18	Kurt Busch	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	88
26	40	+14	David Stremme	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	85
27	18	-9	Joe Nemechek		265	—	Running	—	82
28	38	+10	Tony Raines	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	79
29	24	-5	Kyle Petty	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	76
30	31	+1	Jeff Green		264	—	Running	—	73
31	43	+12	Kenny Wallace		264	—	Running	—	70
32	22	-10	Todd Kluever		264	—	Running	—	67
33	1	-32	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	264	—	Running	11	69
34	2	-32	Scott Riggs		263	—	Running	6	66
35	35	—	Michael Waltrip	Dodge	263	—	Running	—	58
36	42	+6	Robby Gordon		263	—	Running	—	55
37	34	-3	Chad Chaffin	Dodge	261	—	Running	—	52
38	30	-8	Terry Labonte		253	—	Running	—	49
39	11	-28	Jeff Gordon		238	—	Running	—	46
40	9	-31	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	228	—	Running	—	43
41	5	-36	J.J. Yeley		194	—	DNF	—	40
42	41	-1	Jamie McMurray		128	—	DNF	—	37
43	26	-17	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	18	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
2	Casey Mears	16.9	2	+14.9	Coinflip
7	Kyle Busch	17.0	7	+10.0	Coinflip
11	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	11	+4.4	Coinflip
14	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	14	+5.9	Moderate
18	Denny Hamlin	8.2	18	-9.8	High Confidence
41	J.J. Yeley	28.8	41	-12.2	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Tony Stewart: has 24 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 15.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 42 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
Casey Mears: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P17. Track history: 24 starts, 21.3 avg finish.

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