NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — May 10, 2008

Kyle Busch

Winner

367

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on May 10, 2008, leading 169 of 367 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Jeff Gordon rounded out the podium. The race featured 15 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, May 10, 2008

Track

Darlington Raceway

Season

2008

Winner

Kyle Busch

Leaders

15 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	6	+5	Kyle Busch		367	—	Running	169	195
2	36	+34	Carl Edwards		367	—	Running	—	170
3	8	+5	Jeff Gordon		367	—	Running	24	170
4	2	-2	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		367	—	Running	35	165
5	15	+10	David Ragan		367	—	Running	2	160
6	34	+28	Matt Kenseth		367	—	Running	3	155
7	21	+14	Denny Hamlin		367	—	Running	15	151
8	24	+16	Travis Kvapil		367	—	Running	2	147
9	13	+4	Dave Blaney		367	—	Running	—	138
10	12	+2	Jeff Burton		367	—	Running	—	134
11	25	+14	Jamie McMurray		367	—	Running	3	135
12	5	-7	Kurt Busch	Dodge	367	—	Running	1	132
13	3	-10	Jimmie Johnson		367	—	Running	—	124
14	22	+8	Martin Truex, Jr.		367	—	Running	11	126
15	38	+23	Clint Bowyer		367	—	Running	—	118
16	27	+11	Mark Martin		367	—	Running	—	115
17	9	-8	Scott Riggs		367	—	Running	—	112
18	10	-8	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	367	—	Running	—	109
19	30	+11	David Reutimann		367	—	Running	—	106
20	33	+13	David Gilliland		367	—	Running	1	108
21	4	-17	Tony Stewart		366	—	Running	—	100
22	42	+20	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	366	—	Running	1	102
23	19	-4	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	366	—	Running	—	94
24	37	+13	Michael Waltrip		365	—	Running	—	91
25	28	+3	Brian Vickers		365	—	Running	—	88
26	31	+5	J.J. Yeley		365	—	Running	1	90
27	26	-1	A.J. Allmendinger		364	—	Running	—	82
28	18	-10	Michael McDowell		364	—	Running	—	79
29	16	-13	Regan Smith		363	—	Running	—	76
30	20	-10	Bill Elliott		363	—	Running	—	73
31	17	-14	Joe Nemechek		363	—	Running	—	70
32	39	+7	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	362	—	Running	—	67
33	40	+7	Robby Gordon	Dodge	361	—	Running	—	64
34	14	-20	Sterling Marlin	Dodge	350	—	Running	—	61
35	29	-6	Casey Mears		341	—	Running	—	58
36	41	+5	Paul Menard		340	—	Running	—	55
37	32	-5	Ryan Newman	Dodge	295	—	DNF	—	52
38	23	-15	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	270	—	DNF	—	49
39	11	-28	Kevin Harvick		265	—	DNF	—	46
40	43	+3	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	261	—	DNF	4	48
41	35	-6	Kyle Petty	Dodge	250	—	DNF	—	40
42	7	-35	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	247	—	DNF	—	37
43	1	-42	Greg Biffle		234	—	DNF	95	39

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Busch	17.0	1	+16.0	Coinflip
7	Denny Hamlin	8.2	7	+1.2	High Confidence
13	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	13	+6.9	Moderate
14	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	14	+1.4	Coinflip
26	J.J. Yeley	28.2	26	+2.2	High Confidence
27	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	27	-8.7	Coinflip
28	Michael McDowell	16.2	28	-11.8	Coinflip
35	Casey Mears	17.1	35	-17.9	Coinflip
37	Ryan Newman	21.4	37	-15.6	High Confidence
39	Kevin Harvick	11.2	39	-27.8	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Busch: has 42 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 14.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.6 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P7 on the day.

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