NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas

Kansas Speedway — September 28, 2008

Jimmie Johnson

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jimmie Johnson won the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on September 28, 2008, leading 124 of 267 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Greg Biffle rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, September 28, 2008

Track

Kansas Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Jimmie Johnson

Leaders

10 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	1	—	Jimmie Johnson		267	—	Running	124	195
2	34	+32	Carl Edwards		267	—	Running	31	175
3	18	+15	Greg Biffle		267	—	Running	—	165
4	13	+9	Jeff Gordon		267	—	Running	—	160
5	3	-2	Matt Kenseth		267	—	Running	49	160
6	36	+30	Kevin Harvick		267	—	Running	—	150
7	37	+30	Jeff Burton		267	—	Running	—	146
8	12	+4	David Ragan		267	—	Running	—	142
9	14	+5	A.J. Allmendinger		267	—	Running	—	138
10	4	-6	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	134
11	30	+19	Denny Hamlin		267	—	Running	1	135
12	24	+12	Clint Bowyer		267	—	Running	—	127
13	11	-2	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		267	—	Running	—	124
14	10	-4	Casey Mears		267	—	Running	29	126
15	9	-6	Brian Vickers		267	—	Running	—	118
16	15	-1	Ryan Newman	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	115
17	16	-1	Jamie McMurray		267	—	Running	—	112
18	2	-16	Mark Martin		266	—	Running	—	109
19	40	+21	David Reutimann		266	—	Running	1	111
20	42	+22	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	103
21	8	-13	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	100
22	32	+10	David Gilliland		266	—	Running	—	97
23	25	+2	Tony Raines		266	—	Running	—	94
24	21	-3	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	91
25	7	-18	Bill Elliott		266	—	Running	—	88
26	17	-9	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	85
27	6	-21	Paul Menard		266	—	Running	—	82
28	27	-1	Kyle Busch		266	—	Running	1	84
29	19	-10	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	266	—	Running	3	81
30	31	+1	Kurt Busch	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	73
31	26	-5	Dave Blaney		265	—	Running	—	70
32	35	+3	Regan Smith		265	—	Running	—	67
33	23	-10	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	64
34	33	-1	Travis Kvapil		264	—	Running	—	61
35	29	-6	Michael Waltrip		264	—	Running	1	63
36	20	-16	Marcos Ambrose		264	—	Running	—	55
37	39	+2	Robby Gordon	Dodge	264	—	Running	—	52
38	43	+5	Joe Nemechek		263	—	Running	—	49
39	28	-11	Joey Logano		263	—	Running	—	46
40	41	+1	Tony Stewart		260	—	Running	—	43
41	22	-19	Kyle Petty	Dodge	257	—	Running	—	40
42	38	-4	Scott Riggs		235	—	Running	—	37
43	5	-38	Martin Truex, Jr.		229	—	Running	27	39

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	1	+18.9	Moderate
6	Kevin Harvick	11.2	6	+5.2	Moderate
9	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	9	+9.3	Coinflip
11	Denny Hamlin	8.2	11	-2.8	High Confidence
14	Casey Mears	17.1	14	+3.1	Coinflip
28	Kyle Busch	17.0	28	-11.0	Coinflip
39	Joey Logano	12.7	39	-26.3	Coinflip
43	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	43	-27.6	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jimmie Johnson: has 26 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 42 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.9 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P11 on the day.

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