NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — March 2, 2008

Carl Edwards

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Carl Edwards won the 2008 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on March 2, 2008, leading 86 of 267 laps. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. finished second; Greg Biffle rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, March 2, 2008

Track

Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Season

2008

Winner

Carl Edwards

Leaders

9 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Carl Edwards		267	—	Running	86	195
2	8	+6	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		267	—	Running	17	175
3	6	+3	Greg Biffle		267	—	Running	—	165
4	17	+13	Kevin Harvick		267	—	Running	—	160
5	24	+19	Jeff Burton		267	—	Running	10	160
6	37	+31	Kasey Kahne	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	150
7	38	+31	David Ragan		267	—	Running	—	146
8	29	+21	Travis Kvapil		267	—	Running	—	142
9	27	+18	Denny Hamlin		267	—	Running	—	138
10	3	-7	Mark Martin		267	—	Running	1	139
11	1	-10	Kyle Busch		267	—	Running	56	135
12	10	-2	Elliott Sadler	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	127
13	11	-2	Casey Mears		267	—	Running	—	124
14	15	+1	Ryan Newman	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	121
15	18	+3	Martin Truex, Jr.		267	—	Running	—	118
16	23	+7	Jeremy Mayfield		267	—	Running	—	115
17	39	+22	Bobby Labonte	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	112
18	35	+17	Reed Sorenson	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	109
19	31	+12	Juan Pablo Montoya	Dodge	267	—	Running	—	106
20	13	-7	Matt Kenseth		267	—	Running	70	108
21	19	-2	Ken Schrader		267	—	Running	—	100
22	40	+18	Paul Menard		266	—	Running	—	97
23	34	+11	David Gilliland		266	—	Running	—	94
24	43	+19	Brian Vickers		266	—	Running	—	91
25	36	+11	Jamie McMurray		266	—	Running	—	88
26	26	—	Dave Blaney		266	—	Running	—	85
27	30	+3	J.J. Yeley		266	—	Running	—	82
28	21	-7	Clint Bowyer		265	—	Running	—	79
29	33	+4	Jimmie Johnson		265	—	Running	—	76
30	5	-25	Mike Skinner		265	—	Running	—	73
31	22	-9	Michael Waltrip		265	—	Running	—	70
32	41	+9	Kyle Petty	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	67
33	42	+9	Dario Franchitti	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	64
34	28	-6	Regan Smith		264	—	Running	—	61
35	4	-31	Jeff Gordon		262	—	Running	19	63
36	7	-29	Scott Riggs		260	—	Running	2	60
37	14	-23	David Reutimann		258	—	Running	—	52
38	9	-29	Kurt Busch	Dodge	255	—	Running	—	49
39	16	-23	Dale Jarrett		231	—	Running	—	46
40	12	-28	Patrick Carpentier	Dodge	182	—	DNF	—	43
41	20	-21	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	152	—	DNF	—	40
42	32	-10	Robby Gordon	Dodge	142	—	DNF	—	37
43	25	-18	Tony Stewart		107	—	DNF	6	39

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 4.1 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Excellent

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
4	Kevin Harvick	11.2	4	+7.2	Coinflip
9	Denny Hamlin	8.2	9	-0.8	High Confidence
11	Kyle Busch	17.0	11	+6.0	Coinflip
13	Casey Mears	17.1	13	+4.1	Coinflip
15	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	15	+0.4	Coinflip
27	J.J. Yeley	28.2	27	+1.2	High Confidence
29	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	29	-9.1	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Carl Edwards: has 20 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P9 on the day.

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