NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago

Chicagoland Speedway — July 10, 2010

David Reutimann

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

David Reutimann won the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway on July 10, 2010, leading 52 of 267 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Jeff Gordon rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, July 10, 2010

Track

Chicagoland Speedway

Season

2010

Winner

David Reutimann

Leaders

7 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	7	+6	David Reutimann		267	—	Running	52	190
2	11	+9	Carl Edwards		267	—	Running	2	175
3	6	+3	Jeff Gordon		267	—	Running	47	170
4	15	+11	Clint Bowyer		267	—	Running	1	165
5	1	-4	Jamie McMurray		267	—	Running	72	160
6	12	+6	Kasey Kahne		267	—	Running	—	150
7	14	+7	Jeff Burton		267	—	Running	—	146
8	17	+9	Denny Hamlin		267	—	Running	—	142
9	3	-6	Tony Stewart		267	—	Running	—	138
10	9	-1	Paul Menard		267	—	Running	—	134
11	8	-3	Martin Truex, Jr.		267	—	Running	—	130
12	26	+14	David Ragan		267	—	Running	—	127
13	34	+21	Matt Kenseth		267	—	Running	—	124
14	13	-1	A.J. Allmendinger		267	—	Running	—	121
15	21	+6	Mark Martin		267	—	Running	—	118
16	10	-6	Juan Pablo Montoya		267	—	Running	1	120
17	33	+16	Kyle Busch		267	—	Running	—	112
18	30	+12	Brad Keselowski	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	109
19	18	-1	Joey Logano		266	—	Running	—	106
20	41	+21	Regan Smith		266	—	Running	—	103
21	16	-5	Elliott Sadler		266	—	Running	—	100
22	19	-3	Ryan Newman		266	—	Running	—	97
23	25	+2	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		266	—	Running	—	94
24	5	-19	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	266	—	Running	—	91
25	2	-23	Jimmie Johnson		266	—	Running	92	98
26	22	-4	Kurt Busch	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	85
27	24	-3	Reed Sorenson		265	—	Running	—	82
28	23	-5	Marcos Ambrose		265	—	Running	—	79
29	20	-9	Bobby Labonte		265	—	Running	—	76
30	39	+9	Scott Speed		264	—	Running	—	73
31	43	+12	Travis Kvapil		261	—	Running	—	70
32	40	+8	David Gilliland		261	—	Running	—	67
33	42	+9	Kevin Conway		256	—	Running	—	64
34	27	-7	Kevin Harvick		251	—	Running	—	61
35	4	-31	Greg Biffle		225	—	DNF	—	58
36	36	—	David Stremme		184	—	DNF	—	55
37	29	-8	Bill Elliott		176	—	DNF	—	52
38	38	—	Robby Gordon		174	—	DNF	—	49
39	32	-7	Landon Cassill		73	—	DNF	—	46
40	35	-5	Casey Mears		49	—	DNF	—	43
41	37	-4	Mike Bliss		40	—	DNF	—	40
42	31	-11	Max Papis		40	—	DNF	—	37
43	28	-15	Joe Nemechek		20	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
8	Denny Hamlin	8.2	8	+0.2	High Confidence
11	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	11	+4.4	Coinflip
14	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	14	+4.3	Moderate
17	Kyle Busch	17.0	17	0.0	Coinflip
18	Brad Keselowski	11.2	18	-6.8	Moderate
19	Joey Logano	14.7	19	-4.3	Coinflip
25	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	25	-5.1	Moderate
40	Casey Mears	16.9	40	-23.1	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

David Reutimann: has 10 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 20.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P8 on the day.

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