NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — February 28, 2010

Jimmie Johnson

Winner

267

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Jimmie Johnson won the 2010 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on February 28, 2010, leading 18 of 267 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Jeff Gordon rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Sunday, February 28, 2010

Track

Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Season

2010

Winner

Jimmie Johnson

Leaders

9 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	20	+19	Jimmie Johnson		267	—	Running	18	190
2	34	+32	Kevin Harvick		267	—	Running	2	175
3	2	-1	Jeff Gordon		267	—	Running	219	175
4	8	+4	Mark Martin		267	—	Running	—	160
5	11	+6	Matt Kenseth		267	—	Running	9	160
6	6	—	Joey Logano		267	—	Running	—	150
7	9	+2	Tony Stewart		267	—	Running	7	151
8	13	+5	Clint Bowyer		267	—	Running	3	147
9	19	+10	Kasey Kahne		267	—	Running	—	138
10	7	-3	Greg Biffle		267	—	Running	4	139
11	22	+11	Jeff Burton		267	—	Running	—	130
12	12	—	Carl Edwards		267	—	Running	—	127
13	17	+4	David Reutimann		267	—	Running	—	124
14	32	+18	Marcos Ambrose		267	—	Running	—	121
15	5	-10	Kyle Busch		267	—	Running	1	123
16	4	-12	Dale Earnhardt, Jr.		267	—	Running	—	115
17	26	+9	Paul Menard		267	—	Running	—	112
18	3	-15	Ryan Newman		267	—	Running	—	109
19	27	+8	Denny Hamlin		267	—	Running	—	106
20	35	+15	Martin Truex, Jr.		267	—	Running	—	103
21	28	+7	Regan Smith		267	—	Running	—	100
22	23	+1	Scott Speed		266	—	Running	4	102
23	18	-5	David Ragan		266	—	Running	—	94
24	25	+1	Travis Kvapil		265	—	Running	—	91
25	40	+15	A.J. Allmendinger		265	—	Running	—	88
26	16	-10	Brad Keselowski	Dodge	265	—	Running	—	85
27	37	+10	Elliott Sadler		265	—	Running	—	82
28	14	-14	Sam Hornish Jr.	Dodge	264	—	Running	—	79
29	36	+7	Dave Blaney		264	—	Running	—	76
30	38	+8	David Gilliland		263	—	Running	—	73
31	31	—	Brian Vickers		262	—	Running	—	70
32	42	+10	Robby Gordon		262	—	Running	—	67
33	21	-12	Max Papis		262	—	Running	—	64
34	24	-10	Jamie McMurray		260	—	Running	—	61
35	1	-34	Kurt Busch	Dodge	259	—	Running	—	58
36	39	+3	Kevin Conway		256	—	Running	—	55
37	10	-27	Juan Pablo Montoya		247	—	Running	—	52
38	29	-9	Bobby Labonte		216	—	DNF	—	49
39	30	-9	Mike Bliss		135	—	DNF	—	46
40	41	+1	Boris Said		134	—	DNF	—	43
41	15	-26	Joe Nemechek		65	—	DNF	—	40
42	33	-9	Michael McDowell		40	—	DNF	—	37
43	43	—	Aric Almirola		23	—	DNF	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Jimmie Johnson	19.9	1	+18.9	Moderate
6	Joey Logano	14.7	6	+8.7	Coinflip
15	Kyle Busch	17.0	15	+2.0	Coinflip
19	Denny Hamlin	8.2	19	-10.8	High Confidence
20	Martin Truex, Jr.	15.4	20	-4.6	Coinflip
25	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	25	-6.7	Moderate
26	Brad Keselowski	11.2	26	-14.8	Moderate
42	Michael McDowell	17.0	42	-25.0	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Jimmie Johnson: has 24 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.6 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 37 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P19 on the day.

Track Preview →