NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas

Kansas Speedway — April 21, 2013

Matt Kenseth
Winner
267
Laps
43
Entries
8
Leaders

Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on April 21, 2013, leading 163 of 267 laps. Kasey Kahne finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, April 21, 2013
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Matt Kenseth
2 27 +25 Kasey Kahne
3 21 +18 Jimmie Johnson
4 7 +3 Martin Truex, Jr.
5 10 +5 Clint Bowyer
6 33 +27 Brad Keselowski
7 14 +7 Jamie McMurray
8 6 -2 Aric Almirola
9 8 -1 Mark Martin
10 12 +2 Paul Menard
11 3 -8 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
12 17 +5 Kevin Harvick
13 43 +30 Jeff Gordon
14 9 -5 Ryan Newman
15 13 -2 Kurt Busch
16 23 +7 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
17 2 -15 Carl Edwards
18 20 +2 Jeff Burton
19 11 -8 Greg Biffle
20 15 -5 Marcos Ambrose
21 18 -3 Tony Stewart
22 41 +19 Regan Smith
23 28 +5 David Gilliland
24 34 +10 Bobby Labonte
25 25 Danica Patrick
26 36 +10 Josh Wise
27 19 -8 Juan Pablo Montoya
28 31 +3 David Reutimann
29 39 +10 Landon Cassill
30 26 -4 David Ragan
31 16 -15 Brian Vickers
32 38 +6 David Stremme
33 37 +4 Timmy Hill
34 30 -4 Casey Mears
35 40 +5 J.J. Yeley
36 32 -4 Travis Kvapil
37 4 -33 Sam Hornish Jr.
38 5 -33 Kyle Busch
39 22 -17 Joey Logano
40 24 -16 Elliott Sadler
41 35 -6 Mike Bliss
42 29 -13 Michael McDowell
43 42 -1 Dave Blaney
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 13.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 3 +16.9
4 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 4 +11.4
6 Brad Keselowski 11.2 6 +5.2
8 Aric Almirola 15.4 8 +7.4
11 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 21.0 11 +10.0
12 Kevin Harvick 12.7 12 +0.7
33 Timmy Hill 24.0 33 -9.0
34 Casey Mears 17.0 34 -17.0
35 J.J. Yeley 28.2 35 -6.8
38 Kyle Busch 17.0 38 -21.0
39 Joey Logano 13.4 39 -25.6
42 Michael McDowell 16.9 42 -25.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Matt Kenseth: has 33 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Brad Keselowski: was the model’s top pick based on 43 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P6 on the day.
  • Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 26 starts, 9.2 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas?
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas held?
The 2013 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on April 21, 2013.