NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington

Darlington Raceway — April 12, 2014

Kevin Harvick
Winner
374
Laps
43
Entries
12
Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway on April 12, 2014, leading 238 of 374 laps. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. finished second; Jimmie Johnson rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, April 12, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
12 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Kevin Harvick
2 15 +13 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
3 26 +23 Jimmie Johnson
4 25 +21 Matt Kenseth
5 19 +14 Greg Biffle
6 8 +2 Kyle Busch
7 9 +2 Jeff Gordon
8 17 +9 Kyle Larson
9 23 +14 Tony Stewart
10 7 -3 Ryan Newman
11 20 +9 Austin Dillon
12 16 +4 Clint Bowyer
13 21 +8 Carl Edwards
14 4 -10 Marcos Ambrose
15 18 +3 A.J. Allmendinger
16 6 -10 Jamie McMurray
17 5 -12 Brad Keselowski
18 31 +13 Casey Mears
19 10 -9 Denny Hamlin
20 28 +8 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
21 29 +8 Josh Wise
22 33 +11 Danica Patrick
23 24 +1 Justin Allgaier
24 3 -21 Aric Almirola
25 35 +10 Landon Cassill
26 14 -12 Brian Vickers
27 12 -15 Martin Truex, Jr.
28 27 -1 David Gilliland
29 34 +5 Alex Bowman
30 38 +8 Parker Kligerman
31 13 -18 Kurt Busch
32 32 David Ragan
33 41 +8 Travis Kvapil
34 43 +9 Joe Nemechek
35 2 -33 Joey Logano
36 37 +1 David Stremme
37 22 -15 Kasey Kahne
38 42 +4 Cole Whitt
39 40 +1 Reed Sorenson
40 39 -1 Ryan Truex
41 11 -30 Paul Menard
42 30 -12 Michael Annett
43 36 -7 Dave Blaney
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 14 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
3 Jimmie Johnson 19.9 3 +16.9
6 Kyle Busch 17.0 6 +11.0
8 Kyle Larson 12.7 8 +4.7
11 Austin Dillon 17.1 11 +6.1
15 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 15 +3.3
17 Brad Keselowski 11.2 17 -5.8
18 Casey Mears 16.9 18 -1.1
19 Denny Hamlin 8.2 19 -10.8
20 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 19.9 20 -0.1
23 Justin Allgaier 18.3 23 -4.7
27 Martin Truex, Jr. 15.4 27 -11.6
29 Alex Bowman 13.5 29 -15.5
35 Joey Logano 14.7 35 -20.3
40 Ryan Truex 15.4 40 -24.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kevin Harvick: has 49 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 13.0 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Darlington Raceway with a 7.6 avg finish (10 wins), finishing P19 on the day.
  • Jimmie Johnson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P20. Track history: 29 starts, 16.0 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington?
Kevin Harvick won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington at Darlington Raceway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Darlington was held at Darlington Raceway on April 12, 2014.