NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Martinsville
Martinsville Speedway — October 26, 2014
Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
Winner
500
Laps
43
Entries
11
Leaders
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway on October 26, 2014, leading 79 of 500 laps. Jeff Gordon finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 26, 2014
Track
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | +22 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Jeff Gordon |
| 3 | 9 | +6 | Ryan Newman |
| 4 | 4 | — | Tony Stewart |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 6 | 3 | -3 | Matt Kenseth |
| 7 | 12 | +5 | Clint Bowyer |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 10 | 29 | +19 | David Ragan |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Austin Dillon |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Greg Biffle |
| 14 | 14 | — | Paul Menard |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 16 | 1 | -15 | Jamie McMurray |
| 17 | 22 | +5 | Justin Allgaier |
| 18 | 36 | +18 | Cole Whitt |
| 19 | 28 | +9 | Landon Cassill |
| 20 | 11 | -9 | Carl Edwards |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Aric Almirola |
| 22 | 34 | +12 | David Gilliland |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Marcos Ambrose |
| 24 | 37 | +13 | Michael Annett |
| 25 | 35 | +10 | Josh Wise |
| 26 | 43 | +17 | Mike Wallace |
| 27 | 17 | -10 | Brian Vickers |
| 28 | 42 | +14 | Kyle Fowler |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Alex Bowman |
| 30 | 16 | -14 | Kyle Larson |
| 31 | 6 | -25 | Brad Keselowski |
| 32 | 7 | -25 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 33 | 33 | — | Kevin Harvick |
| 34 | 30 | -4 | Danica Patrick |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Reed Sorenson |
| 36 | 10 | -26 | Kurt Busch |
| 37 | 20 | -17 | Casey Mears |
| 38 | 26 | -12 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 40 | 24 | -16 | Kasey Kahne |
| 41 | 39 | -2 | Travis Kvapil |
| 42 | 41 | -1 | Timmy Hill |
| 43 | 38 | -5 | Clay Rogers |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 5 | +7.1 |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 8 | -1.2 |
| 9 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 9 | +9.3 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 11 | +4.6 |
| 12 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 12 | +5.0 |
| 15 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 17 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 17 | +0.7 |
| 29 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 29 | -15.0 |
| 30 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 30 | -21.4 |
| 31 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 31 | -19.0 |
| 32 | Jimmie Johnson | 17.7 | 32 | -14.3 |
| 37 | Casey Mears | 18.0 | 37 | -19.0 |
| 38 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 13.8 | 38 | -24.2 |
| 39 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 39 | -10.9 |
| 42 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 42 | -17.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Dale Earnhardt, Jr.: has 33 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 11.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 47 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 9.2 avg finish (8 wins), finishing P8 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Martinsville?
Dale Earnhardt, Jr. won the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Martinsville held?
The 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Martinsville was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 26, 2014.