NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — May 24, 2015
Carl Edwards
Winner
400
Laps
43
Entries
9
Leaders
Carl Edwards won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2015, leading 25 of 400 laps. Greg Biffle finished second; Dale Earnhardt, Jr. rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, May 24, 2015
Track
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Carl Edwards |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Greg Biffle |
| 3 | 15 | +12 | Dale Earnhardt, Jr. |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Matt Kenseth |
| 5 | 10 | +5 | Martin Truex, Jr. |
| 6 | 19 | +13 | Ryan Newman |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Denny Hamlin |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Kevin Harvick |
| 10 | 14 | +4 | Kurt Busch |
| 11 | 17 | +6 | Kyle Busch |
| 12 | 33 | +21 | Kasey Kahne |
| 13 | 2 | -11 | Joey Logano |
| 14 | 23 | +9 | Paul Menard |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Jeff Gordon |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Austin Dillon |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Aric Almirola |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Chase Elliott |
| 19 | 22 | +3 | Jamie McMurray |
| 20 | 24 | +4 | Clint Bowyer |
| 21 | 12 | -9 | Tony Stewart |
| 22 | 20 | -2 | Danica Patrick |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | Casey Mears |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 25 | 9 | -16 | Kyle Larson |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Alex Bowman |
| 27 | 27 | — | Trevor Bayne |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Cole Whitt |
| 29 | 30 | +1 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 30 | 25 | -5 | Michael McDowell |
| 31 | 40 | +9 | Brett Moffitt |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Michael Annett |
| 33 | 39 | +6 | David Gilliland |
| 34 | 42 | +8 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Josh Wise |
| 36 | 43 | +7 | Alex Kennedy |
| 37 | 29 | -8 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 38 | 41 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 32 | -7 | Landon Cassill |
| 40 | 13 | -27 | Jimmie Johnson |
| 41 | 7 | -34 | David Ragan |
| 42 | 16 | -26 | Ryan Blaney |
| 43 | 35 | -8 | Justin Allgaier |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Martin Truex, Jr. | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 7 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 7 | +4.2 |
| 8 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 8 | +0.2 |
| 11 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 11 | +6.0 |
| 13 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 13 | +1.7 |
| 16 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 16 | +1.1 |
| 18 | Chase Elliott | 7.8 | 18 | -10.2 |
| 23 | Casey Mears | 16.9 | 23 | -6.1 |
| 25 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 25 | -12.3 |
| 26 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 26 | -12.5 |
| 29 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 29 | -10.7 |
| 30 | Michael McDowell | 17.0 | 30 | -13.0 |
| 37 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 19.9 | 37 | -17.1 |
| 38 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 38 | -9.2 |
| 40 | Jimmie Johnson | 19.9 | 40 | -20.1 |
| 42 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 42 | -32.8 |
| 43 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 43 | -24.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Carl Edwards: has 28 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 12.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 20 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
- Martin Truex, Jr.: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P15. Track history: 25 starts, 11.3 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Carl Edwards won the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2015 NASCAR SPRINT CUP SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24, 2015.